You have been tasked with determining a fair stock price for Shire Brewing, a local craft beer manufacturer that will soon be going public for $22 per share. You are interested in investing in this company, but only if it is fairly priced (or undervalued). You have decided to use the free cash flow approach to determine the intrinsic price per share and have compiled the following data:
Free Cash Flow Data |
Other Data |
|
Year (t) |
FCF |
Growth rate of FCF beyond year 4 = 5% |
1 |
$645,000 |
Weighted average cost of capital = 11% |
2 |
775,000 |
Market Value of all debt = $2,300,000 |
3 |
930,000 |
Number of common shares outstanding = 500,000 |
4 |
1,115,000 |
Value of non-operating assets = $1,000,000 |
FCF | |
1 | 645,000 |
2 | 775,000 |
3 | 930,000 |
4 | 1,115,000 |
TV | 19,512,500 |
EV | 15,478,070 |
Equity | 14,178,070 |
Stock Price | $ 28.36 |
Terminal Value (TV) = FCF 4 x (1 + g) / (r - g) = 1,115,000 x (1 + 5%) / (11% - 5%) = $19,512,500
Enterprise Value (EV) = FCF1 / (1 + r) + FCF2 / (1 + r)^2 + FCF3 / (1 + r)^3 + (FCF4 + TV) / (1 + r)^4
= 645,000 / 1.11 + 775,000 / 1.11^2 + 930,000 / 1.11^3 + (1,115,000 + 19,512,500) / 1.11^4
= $15,478,070
Equity Value = EV - Debt + Non-operating assets
= 15,478,070 - 2,300,000 + 1,000,000
= $14,178,070
Stock Price = Equity Value / No. of shares = 14,178,070 / 500,000 = $28.36 ... a)
b) Yes. Because at $22 the stock is undervalued.
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