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A project has the following forecasted cash flows: Cash Flows ($ thousands) C1 С2 Се Сз -145 +95 +85 +105 The estimated projec. What is the ratio of the certainty-equivalent cash flow to the expected cash flow in each year? (Do not round intermediate

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Answer #1

a.) First of all we need to calculate the expected rate of return for project. which can be calculated from below formula

ERi​=Rf​i​(ERm​−Rf​)

where:ERi​=expected return of investment

Rf​=risk-free rate

βi​=beta of the investment

(ERm​−Rf​)=market risk premium​

After putting the value

ERi = 4% + 1.59 ( 17% - 4%) = 24.67%

Net present value of the project will be as under :-

Cash Flows

Amount

In Thousand

Discount Factor @ 24.67%

Present Value

in thousand

C0 -145 1 -145
C1 85 0.80211759 68.17999519
C2 105 0.643392629 67.55622603
C3 95 0.516076545 49.02727179
Total Present Value of the Project 39.76349301

So the present value of the project will be $39.76 Thousand

b) For certainty equivalent cash flow, we need to calculate first risk premium. which is calculated as under

Risk premium = Expected rate of return of project - Risk Free Return

= 24.67% - 4% = 20.67%

Now the formula for Certainty equivalent cash flow is as under

Certainty equivalent cash flow=Expected cash flow ​/ (1+risk premium)

using above formula certainty equivalent cash flow will be as under

YEAR

Cash Flow

Amount ($ Thousand)

(1+ Risk Premium) Certainty Equivalent cash flow
YEAR 1 85 1.2067 70.44
YEAR 2 105 1.2067 87.01
YEAR 3 95 1.2067 78.72

c) Ratio between certainty equivalent cash flow and expected cash flow will be as under

Cash Flows Certainty Equivalent cash flow ($ Thosuand) Expected Cash Flow
($ Thousand)
Ratio
Year 1 70.44 85 0.83
Year 2 87.01 105 0.83
Year 3 78.73 95 0.83
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