Question

To test our hypotheses, consider the following model representing the supply of broilers at time t

Do the estimated parameters support the hypotheses (are the coefficients the expected sign, are they significant)?

We are going to explore three hypotheses about broilers in this assignment. For all hypotheses, we assume that it takes approximately two months for broilers to be placed in the market. The hypotheses are below 1. If the price of broilers is high, producers may decide to not place chicks on the market so they can sell heavier birds in the future. (Qbt and Pbt are inversely related, or move in different directions.) number of broilers the market in month t+2.(Qbt and Pbt-2 are directly related, or move together.) market. This results in a decline in the number of broiler in the market in month t+2.(Qbt and Pet-2 are inversely 2. If the price of broilers at time t is high, producers may plan for higher levels of production. This will result in a larger 3. If the price of eggs in month t is high, producers may decide to place some eggs from the hatchery into the egg related, or move in different directions.)1 SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistics 4 Multiple R 5 RSquare 6 Adjusted R Sq 0.468934927 7 Standard Erro 3.938138211 8 Observations 0.706296033 0.498854086 72 10 ANOVA df MS Significance F 12 Regression 13 Residual 14 Total 15 16 17 Intercept 18 Pbt 19 Pbt-2 20 Pet-2 21 S 4 1034.346503 258.5866258 16.673399331.5742E-09 67 1039.098482 15.50893257 71 2073.444985 Coefficients Standard Erro 159.0488071 3.93716491540.39678564 9.09165E-49 151.1901931 166.90742 151.1901931 166.9074212 3.127362947 16.90087216 -0.185041513 0.85375548-36.86164496 30.606919-36.86164496 30.60691907 41.71811542 14.799993512.818792818 0.006331759 12.17720473 71.2590261 12.17720473 71.25902611 0.582843466 1.987052434 -0.293320627 0.770183717 -4.549016724 3.38332979 -4.549016724 3.383329791 7.521075484 1.111462813 -6.766826022 3.95096E-09-9.7395645435.30258642 -9.7395645435.302586424 tStat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%

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Answer #1

1. The first hypothesis has expected sign because if the price of the broiler is high than the demand for broiler decrease due to the stock of chicks for sale in the future with the high price and the result is nonsignificant. at 1 %, 5% because p-value is greater than the alpha

2. for the second hypothesis has the expected sign with the significant level at 1%. because if the price of broiler increases then every producer want to more profit that leads to increase the number in broiler and reduction in egg market in the future market. they stock the chicks for the sale in future.

3. if the price of an egg is high then producer want to more produce egg rather than broiler to got more profit so demand for egg market increase that reduce the number of broilers. the hypothesis has the expected sign but not have a significant result. it means that the price of egg increase by 1$ then the quantity of broiler decreased by -0.58 unit.

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