1. The most popular capital budgeting techniques used in practice to evaluate and select projects are payback period, Net Present Value (NPV), and Internal Rate of Return (IRR).
2. Payback period is the number of years required for a company to recover the initial investment cost.
3. Net Present Value (NPV) technique: NPV is found by subtracting a project’s initial cost of investment from the present value of its cash flows discounted using the firm’s weighted average cost of capital. It shows the absolute amount of money in dollars that the project is expected to generate.
Decision Criteria of NPV
If NPV > 0, accept the project
If NPV < 0, reject the project
The decision rule for mutually exclusive project is to select the project with the highest NPV.
4. Internal Rate of Return (IRR) is the intrinsic rate of return the project is likely to generate. The IRR is the discount rate or the rate of return that will equate the present value of the cash outflows with the present value of the cash inflows (i.e. NPV = 0).
Decision Rule:
Accept the project if IRR > cost of capital
Reject the project if IRR < cost of capital
Exhibit 1: The expected cash flows in US$ from the project in Ohio and North Dakota.
Year |
Cash flow (Ohio) |
Cash flow (ND) |
0 |
(2,000,000) |
(2,200,000) |
1 |
180,000.00 |
150,000.00 |
2 |
240,000.00 |
180,000.00 |
3 |
280,000.00 |
200,000.00 |
4 |
300,000.00 |
290,000.00 |
5 |
520,000.00 |
380,000.00 |
6 |
480,000.00 |
590,000.00 |
7 |
530,000.00 |
410,000.00 |
8 |
585,000.00 |
583,000.00 |
9 |
590,000.00 |
580,000.00 |
10 |
592,000.00 |
620,000.00 |
The company’s policy is to select projects using NPV technique.
1. You have been hired as a financial consultant to help evaluate the project. Baldwin Inc. wants you to do the following:
a. Calculate the payback period for the two projects.
b. Calculate the IRR of both projects.
c. Use the NPV technique to recommend which investment project it should accept, assuming the cost of capital of financing the Ohio project is 12% and 10% for the North Dakota project?
2. Gregg knows how bad forecast can ruin capital budgeting decisions. If the cost of capital changes from 12% to 13% for Ohio project and remains the same for ND project, does the company have to pursue the project?
Q1)
A) Pay- back period Calculation:
Project Ohio
Year | Cashflow | Cumulative Cash flow |
0 | ($2,000,000) | ($2,000,000) |
1 | 180,000 | ($1,820,000) |
2 | 240,000 | ($1,580,000) |
3 | 280,000 | ($1,300,000) |
4 | 300,000 | ($1,000,000) |
5 |
520,000 |
($480,000) |
6 | 480,000 | 0 |
7 | 530,000 | $530,000 |
8 | 585,000 | $1,115,000 |
9 | 590,000 | $1,705,000 |
10 | 592,000 | $2,297,000 |
Pay back period of Ohio - 6years.
Project North Dakota
Year | Cashflow | Cumulative Cash flow |
0 | ($2,200,000) | ($2,200,000) |
1 | $150,000 | ($2,050,000) |
2 | $180,000 | ($1,870,000) |
3 | $200,000 | ($1,670,000) |
4 | $290,000 | ($1,380,000) |
5 | $380,000 | ($1,000,000) |
6 | $590,000 | ($410,000) |
7 | $410,000 | 0 |
8 | $583,000 | $583,000 |
9 | $580,000 | $1,163,000 |
10 | $620,000 | $1,783,000 |
Pay back period of North Dakota Project is 7years.
B) IRR Calculation
Project Ohio
Year | Cash flow | discount factor 12% | PV discount factor@12% | discount factor 15% | PV Cashflow @15% |
0 | ($2,000,000) | ||||
1 | $180,000 | 0.893 | $160,740 | 0.870 | $156,600 |
2 | $240,000 | 0.797 | $191,280 | 0.756 | $181,440 |
3 | $280,000 | 0.712 | $199,360 | 0.658 | $184,240 |
4 | $300,000 | 0.636 | $190,800 | 0.572 | $171,600 |
5 | $520,000 | 0.567 | $294,840 | 0.497 | $258,440 |
6 | $480,000 | 0.507 | $243,360 | 0.432 | $207,260 |
7 | $530,000 | 0.452 | $239,560 | 0.376 | $199,280 |
8 | $585,000 | 0.404 | $236,340 | 0.327 | $191,295 |
9 | $590,000 | 0.361 | $212,990 | 0.284 | $167,560 |
10 | $592,000 | 0.322 | $190,624 | 0.247 | $146,224 |
Cumulative Cash Inflow | $2,159,894 | $1,874,039 | |||
Less: Cash outflow | (2,000,000) | $(2,000,000) | |||
NPV | $159,894 | ($135,961) |
IRR = 12%+ $159,894/($159,894+$135,961) × (15-12)%
IRR= 12%+ $159,894/$295,855 × (3)%
IRR = 12%+ 1.621% = 13.621%
IRR Calculation for North Dakota Project
Year | Cashflow | Discount factor 10% | PV Cashflow@10% | Discount factor 8% | PV Cash flow@8% |
1 | $150,000 | 0.909 | $136,350 |
0.926 |
$138,900 |
2 | $180,000 | 0.826 | $148,680 | 0.857 | $154,260 |
3 | $200,000 | 0.751 | $150,200 | 0.794 | $158,800 |
4 | $290,000 | 0.683 | $198,070 | 0.735 | $213,150 |
5 | $380,000 | 0.621 | $235,980 | 0.681 | $258,780 |
6 | $590,000 | 0.564 | $332,760 | 0.630 | $371,700 |
7 | $410,000 | 0.513 | $210,330 | 0.583 | $239,030 |
8 | $583,000 | 0.467 | $272,261 | 0.540 | $314,820 |
9 | $580,000 | 0.424 | $245,920 | 0.500 | $290,000 |
10 | $620,000 | 0.386 | $239,320 | 0.463 | $287,060 |
Cumulative Cashflow | $2,169,651 | $2,426,500 | |||
Less: Investment | $2,200,000 | $2,200,000 | |||
NPV | $(30,349) | $226,500 |
IRR = 8%+ $226,500/(226,500+30,349) × ( 10-8)%
IRR = 8% + $226,500/$256,849 × 2%
IRR = 8%+ 1.763% = 9.7636%
C) NPV
Check table of (B) question.
OHIO PROJECT @ 12%
CUMULATIVE CASHFLOW @12% is $2,159,894
Investment =$2,000,0000
NPV = $2,159,894 - $2,000,000 = $159,894
NORTH DAKOTA @ 10%
Cumulative Cashflow = $2,169,651
Investment =$2,200,000
NPV = $ 2,169,651 - $2,200,000 =$( 30,349)
PROJECT OHIO is accepted as it has positive NPV.
2)
NPV CALCULATION AT 13% COST OF CAPITAL
Year | Cashflow | Discount factor 13% | PV CASHFLOW @13% |
0 | (2,000,000) | ||
1 | $180,000 | 0.885 | $159,300 |
2 | $240,000 | 0.783 | $187,920 |
3 | $280,000 | 0.693 | $194,040 |
4 | $300,000 | 0.613 | $183,900 |
5 | $520,000 | 0.543 | $282,360 |
6 | $480,000 | 0.480 | $230,400 |
7 | $530,000 | 0.425 | $225,250 |
8 | $585,000 | 0.376 | $219,960 |
9 | $590,000 | 0.33 | $194,700 |
10 | $592,000 | 0.295 | $174,640 |
Cumulative Cashflow | $2,052,470 | ||
Less: Cashoutflow | $2,000,000 | ||
NPV | $52,470 |
ohio project NPV
12% | $159,894 |
13% | $52,470 |
NPV of North Dakota @ 10%
10% | ($30,349) |
When cost of capital change from 12% to 13% for Ohio project and
North Dakota Project is same, in both the projects
Ohio PROJECT will be selected as there NPV is positive
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