suppose that the current spot exchange rate is €0.815/$ and the three month forward exchange rate is €0.815/$. the three month interest rate is 6.00 percent per annum in the United States and 5.40 percent per annum in France . assume that you can borrow up to $1,000,000 or €30,000. show how to realize a certain profit via covered interest arbitrage, assuming that you want to realize profit in terms of U.S dollars. also determine the size of your arbitrage profit.
The premium/(discount) on the euro = 0, as the spot and forward | |
rates are the same. | |
The interest rate differnential = 6.00-54.40 = 0.60%. | |
CIA is possible and as the interest rate differential is more it would | |
be beneficial to invest in the currency having higher interest rate. | |
Strategy would be to borrow in Euro and to invest in $. | |
Borrow Euro 30000 to finally repay = 30000*(1+0.054/4) = | € 30,405.00 |
Convert the Euros to $ to get 30000/0.815 = | $ 36,809.82 |
Invest the dollars for three months to get = 36809.82*101.5% = | $ 37,361.97 |
Sell forward the dollars to get 37361.97*0.815 = | € 30,450.00 |
Pay the euro loan of 30405 and take the profit of 30450-20405 = | € 45.00 |
Profit in terms of US dollars = 45/0.815 = | $ 55.22 |
suppose that the current spot exchange rate is €0.815/$ and the three month forward exchange rate...
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