1 Modify the gambler's ruin problem so that the probability of winning isp, losing is q...
Suppose in the gambler's ruin problem that the probability of winning a bet de- pends on the gambler's present fortune. Specifically, suppose that ai is the prob- ability that the gambler wins a bet when his or her fortune is i. Given that the gambler's initial fortune is i, let P(i) denote the probability that the gambler's fortune reaches N before 0. (a) Derive a formula that relates Pi) to Pi -1 and Pi 1) (b) Using the same approach...
B2. Describe the basic ideas behind the gambler's ruin model. For an unfair game where the gambler has probability p of winning and q (1-p) of losing, show that the probability that the gambler attains a fortune of N starting from an initial sum of j is given by 1-(a/p) obtain a similar expression for φ, the probability that, starting from €, the gambler is ruined before reaching EN and show that dj+ ,-1 for all j 0,1, ,N. Explain...
Exercise 7.1 (Gamblers ruin). Let (Xt) 120 be the Gambler's chain on state space Ω = {0, 1,2, , N} (i) Show that any distribution r-[a,0,0, ,0, bl on 2 is stationary with respect to the gambler?s (ii) Clearly the gambler's chain eventually visits state 0 or N, and stays at that boundary state introduced in Example 1.1. chain. Also show that any stationary distribution of this chain should be of this form. thereafter. This is called absorbtion. Let Ti...
1. Consider the following "Gambler's Ruin" problem. A gambler starts with a certain number of dollar bills between 1 and 5. During each turn of the game, there is a .55 chance that the gambler wil win a dollar, and a .45 chance that the gamble will lose a dollar. The game ends when the gambler has either S0 or S6. Let Xn represent the amount of money that the gambler has after turn n. (a) Give the one-step transition...
Question 8 10 pts In a casino game based on the standard gambler's ruin problem, the gambler and the dealer each start with 20 tokens. One token is bet on at each play. The game continues until one player has no further tokens. It is decreed that the probability that any gambler is ruined is 0.55 to protect the casino's profit. What should the probability that the gambler wins at each play be? Give your answer to 4 decimal places.
1.5, Consider a gambler's ruin chain with N 4. That is, if 1 i 3, p(i,i + - 0.4, and p(i,i -1) 0.6, but the endpoints are absorbing states: p(0, 0)1 and p(4 , 4-1 Compute p3 (1, 4) and p3 (1,0)
Problem 5: Gambler's Ruin Our old friend John Doe who tried his luck at blackjack back in Homework 2 now decides to win a small fortune using slot machines mstead. Having ganed some wisdom from his previous outings, he starts off small with just one dollar. He plays the slot machines in the following way He always inserts one dollar into the slot machines After playing it, the machine returns two dollars with probability p and returns nothing with probability...
Gambler’s Ruin. A gambler, player A, plays a sequence of games against an opponent, player B. In each game, the probability of player A winning is p. If player A wins, he wins $1 which is paid by player B. If he loses a hand with probability q = 1-p, he must pay $1 to player B. The game ends either player B wins all the money from player A, and he is “ruined,” or when player A wins all...
Simulate a code through matlab the following problem. A random walk with P(X_n = i+1 | X_{n-1} = i) = .4, and P(X_n = i-1 | X_{n-1} = i) = .6. Find the mean and variance of the number of transitions needed to get from state 5 to state 0. Find the probability you reach 10 before you reach 0 starting from 5. Check this with the formula from the gambler's ruin problem.
In a game, you have a 1/28 probability of winning 125 dollars and a 27/28 probability of losing 5 dollars. ON AVERAGE, how much would you expect to win or loose playing this game? SELECT ALL APPLICABLE CHOICES A) E=−23.7E=−23.7 B) E=−0.357E=−0.357 C) E=12.3E=12.3 D) E=−20.4