Solution is as follows
what is the expected return for site a? what is the expected return for site b?...
after carefully testing finite
Decision analysis. After careful testing and analysis, an oil company is considering drilling in two different sites. It is estimated that site A will net $30 million i successful (probability and lose $2 million if not (probability.7): site will net $70 nillion if successful (probability 2) and lose $6 million if not (probability.8). Which site should the company choose accordi to the expected return from each site? a. What is the expected return for site A7$...
Consider Two drilling Site, A and B. First, consider site B alone. The estimated drilling cost is $40 million. For simplicity, assume that if you drill at this site, there are two possible outcomes: either there is oil at the site or there is no oil. Based on the available data, your geologists assign a 20% chance that there is oil at the site (the site is "wet"). If there is oil, your geologists believe that the expected present value...
There are N sites that need protection (number them 1 to N). Someone is going to pick one of them to attack, and you must pick one to protect. Suppose that the attacker is going to attack site i with probability qi. You plan on selecting a site to protect, with probability pi of selecting site i. If you select the same site to protect that the attacker chooses to attack, you successfully defend that site. The choice of {qi}...
A company is considering drilling a development well. Wellsite preparation, drilling and testing of the well is expected to cost $2.2 million. Completion of the well and the field equipment necessary to get the well ready for production (wellhead, tubing, flowline, etc.) would cost $1.4 million. Company geologists have suggested that there is a 20% probability that the well will be dry. If that is the case, abandonment and reclamation costs would be $150,000. In the event the well is...
2. A consumer electronics company is planning to introduce a new device. After careful consideration of costs, (e.g., there is a fixed cost of $5 million for developing the item), the projected state of the economy, etc., the marketing manager came up with the following payoff table (in $millions) Courses of action Event Market item Do not market item Introduction successful $50 -$5 Introduction not successful -$40 -$5 a. What are the decisions? b. What are the states of nature?...
2. A consumer electronics company is planning to introduce a new device. After careful consideration of costs, (e.g., there is a fixed cost of $5 million for developing the item), the projected state of the economy, etc., the marketing manager came up with the following payoff table (in $millions) Courses of action Event Market item Do not market item Introduction successful $50 -$5 Introduction not successful -$40 -$5 a. What are the decisions? b. What are the states of nature?...
a. The expected rate of return for portfolio A is:
The standard deviation of portfolio A is:
b. The expected rate of return for portfolio B is:
The standard deviation for portfolio B is:
(Computing the expected rate of return and risk) After a tumultuous period in the stock market, Logan Morgan is considering an investment in one of two portfolios. Given the information that follows, which investment is better, based on risk (as measured by the standard deviation) and...
Stock A is expected to return 12 percent in a normal economy and lose 7 percent in a recession. Stock B is expected to return 8 percent in a normal economy and 2 percent in a recession. The probability of the economy being normal is 80 percent and the probability of a recession is 20 percent. What is the covariance of these two securities? Group of answer choices .003876 .004203 .003280 .004115
MATRIC NO: 000pe 013 DECISİON MAKING IN BUSINESS QUESTION 1(20 MARKS) a. List TWO (2) major decision criteria used when making decisions under uncertainty 2 marks) Fateh is considering opening a book store near the campus, and he has begun an analysis of the situation. There two possible sites under consideration. One is relatively small, while the other is large. If he opens at Site 1 and demand is good, he will generate a proft of RM50, 000. If demand...
Chapter 11 Homework You have $500 to invest and are considering buying some combination of the shares of two companies, Donkeyinc and Elephantine. Shares of Dort will pay a return of percent of the Democrats are elected an event you believe to have a 20 percent probability otherwise the shares pay a zero retum. Shares of Elephantine will pay 6 percent of the Republicans are elected a probability of 80 percener otherwise her the Democrats of the Republicans will be...