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11.1.15 Question Help Construct a confidence interval for P1-P2 at the given level of confidence. X1 = 30, n = 269, X2 = 32,

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The formula for calculating (1-\alpha)100\% for the true population proportion difference is given by (\hat{p}_{1}-\hat{p}_{2})\pm Z_{\frac{\alpha}{2}}\sqrt{\frac{\hat{p}_{1}(1-\hat{p}_{2})}{n_{1}}+\frac{\hat{p}_{2}(1-\hat{p}_{2})}{n_{2}}}

where,

sample proportion for sample 1, \hat{p}_{1}=\frac{x_{1}}{n_{1}}=\frac{30}{269}=0.1115241636\approx \mathbf{0.11152}

sample proportion for sample 2, \hat{p}_{2}=\frac{x_{2}}{n_{2}}=\frac{32}{300}=0.1066666667\approx \mathbf{0.10667}

Critical value: For 99% confidence, \alpha=1-0.99=0.01

Z_{\frac{\alpha}{2}}=Z_{\frac{0.01}{2}}=2.575829\approx \mathbf{2.576}

Calculation for 99% confidence interval for \hat{p}_{1}-\hat{p}_{2} :

\Rightarrow (\hat{p}_{1}-\hat{p}_{2})\pm Z_{\frac{\alpha}{2}}\sqrt{\frac{\hat{p}_{1}(1-\hat{p}_{2})}{n_{1}}+\frac{\hat{p}_{2}(1-\hat{p}_{2})}{n_{2}}}

\Rightarrow \left(0.11152-0.10667\right)\pm2.576\sqrt{\frac{0.11152\left(1-0.11152\right)}{269}+\frac{0.10667\left(1-0.10667\right)}{300}}

\Rightarrow 0.00485\pm0.06746847118

\Rightarrow (0.00485-0.06746847118,\:0.00485 +0.06746847118)

\Rightarrow (-0.06261847118,\:0.07231847118)

\Rightarrow \mathbf{{\color{Blue} (-0.063,\:0.072)}}

So the 99% confidence interval for (p_{1}-p_{2}) is calculated as \color{Blue} (-0.063,\:0.072)

The researchers are 99% confident that difference between the two population proportions, p1 -p2 , is between -0.063 and 0.072

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