A fair coin is tossed 10 times and the number of heads is counted. Complete parts (a) through (d).
a. Use the binomial distribution to find the probability of getting 5 heads.
(Round to four decimal places as needed.)
b. Use the binomial distribution to find the probability of getting at least 5 heads.
(Round to four decimal places as needed.)
c. Use the binomial distribution to find the probability of getting 5 to 7 heads.
(Round to four decimal places as needed.)
d. Use the normal distribution to approximate the probability of getting at least 5 heads. (2 points)
(Round to four decimal places as needed.)
Solution:
n = 10
Let X be the number of heads is counted.
p be the probability of success of heads
p = 0.5
X follows Binomial(n = 10 , p = 0.5)
Using binomial probability formula ,
P(X = x) = (n C x) * px * (1 - p)n - x ; x = 0 ,1 , 2 , ....., n
a)
P[getting 5 heads]
= P[X = 5]
= (10 C 5) * 0.55 * (1 - 0.5)10 - 5
= 0.2461
P[getting 5 heads] = 0.2461
b)
P[getting at least 5 heads]
= P[X 5]
= 1 - { P[X < 5] }
= 1 - { P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) + P(X = 3) + P(X = 4) }
= 1 - { (10 C 0) * 0.50 * (1 - 0.5)10 - 0 + (10 C 1) * 0.51 * (1 - 0.5)10 - 1 + (10 C 2) * 0.52 * (1 - 0.5)10 - 2 + (10 C 3) * 0.53 * (1 - 0.5)10 - 3 + (10 C 4) * 0.54 * (1 - 0.5)10 - 4 }
= 1 - { 0.0009765625+0.009765625+0.0439453125+0.1171875+0.205078125 }
= 1 - 0.376953125
= 0.6230
P[getting at least 5 heads] = 0.6230
c)
P[getting 5 to 7 heads]
= P(X = 5) + P(X = 6) + P(X = 7)
= (10 C 4) * 0.54 * (1 - 0.5)10 - 4 + (10 C 6) * 0.56 * (1 - 0.5)10 - 6 + (10 C 7) * 0.57 * (1 - 0.5)10 - 7 +
= 0.24609375 + 0.205078125 + 0.1171875
= 0.5684
P[getting 5 to 7 heads] = 0.5684
d)
According to normal approximation binomial,
X Normal
Mean = = n*p = 10 * 0.5 = 5
Standard deviation = =n*p*(1-p) = [10*0.5*0.5] = 1.58113883008
Now ,
P[getting at least 5 heads.]
= P[X 5]
Using continuity correction ,
= P[X > 4.5]
= P[(X - )/ > (4.5 - )/]
= P[Z > (4.5 - 5)/1.58113883008]
= P[Z > -0.316]
= 1 - P[Z < -0.316]
= 1 - 0.3760 ( use z table)
= 0.6240
P[getting at least 5 heads] = 0.6240
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