ABS Toys sells a variety of toys and games. For the last 3 years the following quarterly sales were reported.
Sales | |||
2017 | Quarter 1 | 9 | |
Quarter 2 | 5 | ||
Quarter 3 | 15 | ||
Quarter 4 | 26 | ||
2018 | Quarter 1 | 20 | |
Quarter 2 | 12 | ||
Quarter 3 | 34 | ||
Quarter 4 | 51 | ||
2019 | Quarter 1 | 44 | |
Quarter 2 | 38 | ||
Quarter 3 | 62 | ||
Quarter 4 | 84 | ||
Answers: | |||||||
a. | Calculate the seasonal indexes for each quarter. | ||||||
Q1 | |||||||
Q2 | |||||||
Q3 | |||||||
Q4 | |||||||
b. | Deseasonalize the time series. Develop a forecasting equation. | ||||||
c. | What are your forecasts for 2020? | ||||||
2020 Q1 | |||||||
2020 Q2 | |||||||
2020 Q3 | |||||||
2020 Q4 | |||||||
(a)
Seasonal |
Indexes |
0.973 |
0.590 |
1.025 |
1.413 |
(b) y = 5.4635x - 2.9652
(c)
Forecast |
12.62347 |
8.246044 |
15.34499 |
22.56863 |
ABS Toys sells a variety of toys and games. For the last 3 years the following...
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