3.1)Payback period(uneven cash flows) =Years until payback occurs +un recovered cost at beginning of last year /Cash flow during last year
Payback period(equal annual cash flows)=Initial outflow/expected annual inflow
Acceptable period=3 years or less
Initial outflow (same for all 3 )=R 1,000,000
Project A
Inflows =R375,000 per year for 4 years
Payback period =R1,000,000/R375,000=2.66 years
Project B
Inflows =R100,000 year 2 R 200,000 Year 3 R400,000 Year 4 R800,000
After 3 years the project still requires R 300,000 more to recover it's cost.Year 4 inflow =R 800,000 So payback occurs sometime between years 3 and year 4 So payback period =3+300,000/800,000=3.35 years
Project C
Inflows =R800,000 year 2 R400,000 Year 3 R200,000 year4 R100,000
After Year 1 the project requires R 200,000 more to pay for itself the year 2 inflow =R400,000 So payback occurs sometime between years 1 and 2 So payback period =1+200,000/400,000=1.5 years
Ranking them
1.Project C (1.5 years)
2. Project A (2.66 years)
3. Project B (3.35 years)
project A and C are accepted and project B is rejected since it's payback period is higher than the desired payback period.
3.2 NPV =Total PV of Inflow -Initial Outflow
PI =PV of inflows/Initial Outflows
Projects A and C are the ones deemed acceptable according to payback period .so their NPVs are as follows
Project A
Discount rate =15% Initial outflow is R1,000,000 for both projects
PVIF's are underlined
Inflow =R375,000 per year for 4 years PV of inflows =R 375,000*.8696+375000*.7561+375000*.6575+375000*.5718=Year 1 326,062.5+Year 2 283,537.5+Year 3 246,562.5+Year 4 214,425=R1,070,587.5
NPV =R 1,070,587.5- R 1,000,000= R 70,587.5
PI =Pv of inflows /initial Outflow
Pv of inflows =R1,070,587.5 Initial outflow = R1,000,000
PI =1,070,587.5/1,000,000=1.070
Project C
PVIF's are underlined
PV of inflows =R800,000*.8696+R 400,000*.7561+R200,000*.6575+R100,000*.5718=year 1 695,680+ year 2 302,440+year 3 131,500+Year 4 57,180= R 1,186,800
NPV =R 1,186,800- R 1,000,000= R 186,800
PI =pv of inflow/initial outflow
Pv of inflows =R 1,186,800 Outflow =R 1,000,000
PI =1,186,800/1,000,000=1.1868
3.3 Project C Should be the first choice of implementation
Project C has the smallest payback period among the three that implies less time to recover it's cost
Project C has the highest NPV ,that implies the highest positive value addition to the firm
Project C has the highest PI
3.4
Limitations Of NPV Payback and PI(capital budgeting methods used)
The payback period does not take into consideration the present value of inflows ,and does not give indication of profitability.payback period method tends to favor projects with shorter life span if payback period is short.In our case the Project B is being rejected based on payback period that does not consider the present value of inflows.
The Net Present value method doe not factor the critical costs and hidden costs that may have an impact on the project.The project chosen based on NPV is project C .But the sunk cost associated with C are not taken into consideration.
Profitability index (PI) does not give an indication of the scale of the project being evaluated and is not reliable in the case of mutually exclusive projects.It does not factor in sunk costs.
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