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Paul was discussing the market for cocoa beans with his friend John. Paul said, "Ever since...

Paul was discussing the market for cocoa beans with his friend John. Paul said, "Ever since Venezuela announced that its cocoa harvest was its lowest ever in fifteen years, the price of cocoa beans has been rising and rising and people are buying more and more. I think the demand for cocoa beans must be upward sloping." Is Paul right? Briefly explain why or why not.
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Answer:

No, Paul is not right.

The reason is that there is a change in demand due to the change in expectations; and Paul has considered the change in demand as a result of a change in price.

As there is a change in expectations, thus anticipation of higher prices in the future would cause the demand for Cocoa to increase. When both price and quantity demanded increase it causes to a higher equilibrium price.

As long as people expects that the price of cocoa beans will increase in the future there would be a rise in demand today.

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