Russell's Independent Book Store is trying to decide on how many copies of a book to purchase at the start of the upcoming selling season. The book retails at $40.00. The publisher sells the book to Rusell at $20.00. Rusell will dispose of all of the unsold copies of the book at $15, at the end of the season. Rusell estimates that demand for this book during the season is Normal with a mean of 1000 and a standard deviation of 250.
A)Find the critical ratio CR?
B)Find order quantity Q to maximize expected profit?
C) Find the maximum profit?
D) Find mismatch cost by using the maximum profit value found in C and CV-CR table?
Underage cost, Cu = p - c = 40 - 20 = $ 20
Overage cost, Co = p - v = 20 - 15 = $ 5
A)
Critical ratio, CR = Cu/(Cu+Co)
= 20/(20+5)
= 0.8
B)
z value = NORMSINV(0.8) = 0.8416
Optimal order quantity, Q = mean + z*std dev
= 1000+0.8416*250
= 1,210 copies
C) Maximum profit = mean demand * Cu
= 1000*20
= $ 20,000
D)
From standard normal loss table, for z=0.8416, I(z) = 0953
Expected Leftover inventory, V = 250*0.953 = 238
Expected sales, S = Q-V = 1210-238 = 972
Expected profit = S*Cu - V*Co = 972*20 - 238*5 = 18,250
Mismatch cost = Maximum profit - Expected profit
= 20000 - 18250
= $ 1,750
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