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Let Po, Pi, and P be the space of possible probability distributions assigning to the integers 1,2, 6 the following probabilities 1 234 5 6 P .03 .02 02 0 0 .92 P .06 05 08 02 0 78 2 09 05 12 0 02 72 Consider the nul hypothesis Ho P-Po. Based on a single observation X E(1,2,..6) (a) (6 points) Is there a uniformly most powerful test against the alternatives P and F, at b) (6 points) Is there a uniformly most powerful test against the alternatives Pi and P2 at (c) (8 points) Recall that one way to construct a confidence set is to invert a hypothesis level ? = .01? If so, specify the rejection region of that test. level a-05? If so, specify the rejection region of that test. test: (i.e. allowing the confidence set to include members of the parameter space for which the designated test would not reject.) Suppose X-4 is observed. Give a 99% confidence set, and (briefly) justify your choice

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