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There are three equally likely states of nature (High, Medium, and Low demand). If the large...

There are three equally likely states of nature (High, Medium, and Low demand). If the large factory will post profits of $50,000, $25,000, and - $10,000 under these states of nature, respectively, what is the EMV of the factory? 
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Answer #1

Solution:

Since, the three states of nature (High, Medium and Low demand) are equally likely, therefore, the Expected Monetary Value (EMV) of the factory will simply be the average of the respective profits.

EMV = Sum of respective profits / 3

EMV = ($50,000 + $25,000 - $10,000) / 3

EMV = $65,000 / 3

EMV = $21,666.67

Answer: (d) $21,666.67

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