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Problem 4 ((30 points) Bayes Theorem). The local barber shop is home to three barbers The barbers appear identical but vary in their ability to provide good haircuts. Denote the event that you receive a good haircut by G, the event that you do not receive a good haircut by NG, and the event that your hair is cut by barber i by Bi, where i E 1,2, 3) The probability that any particular barber cuts your hair is 1/3. The probability that you receive a good haircut from barber 1 is 1. The probability that you receive a good haircut from barber 2 is 1/2. The probability that you receive a good haircut from barber 3 is x, where z E [0,1] Recall: Let Ai, A2,..., Ak are disjoint and exhaustive events in the sample space S, such that P(A) > 0, let B be an event such that P(B) > 0. Then, P(B) P(BA)P(A) (Law of Total Probability) A,|3)-PBA (Bayes Theorem) a. Using the Bayes Theorem calculate the probability that your hair is cut by barber 1 given that you received a good haircut b. Assume P(G)- Find z.

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