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This problem is based on poisson process Cars arrive at a rate alpha-500/HOUR A pedestrian arrives at a crossing point right after the event of a car passing by. If the pedestrian needs 5 seconds to cross the street, what is the probability that he/she will cross safely without getting hit by a car?

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Answer #1

Car Arrival rate N follows poisson distribution with \lambda = 500/hour = 0.139/sec
PDF of Poisson Distribution:
P(N(t) = n) = e^{-\lambda t}\frac{(\lambda t)^{n}}{n!}
Probability that a pedestrian safely crosses the street = Probability that no car arrives during the next 5 seconds = Probability that number of car arrivals n in time t=5 seconds is n=0
P(N(t=5) = 0) = e^{-\lambda *5}\frac{(\lambda *5)^{0}}{0!}
P(N(t=5) = 0) = e^{-0.139 * 5} = 0.50

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