QUESTION 3: CAPITAL BUDGETING [30 MARKS]
Swee Rien Roofing Materials, Inc., is considering two mutually
exclusive projects, each with an initial investment of RM1,500,000.
The company’s board of directors has set a maximum 4-year payback
requirement and has set its cost of capital at 9.50 percent. The
cash inflows associated with the two projects are shown in the
following table.
Cash inflows (CFt)
Year |
Project A (RM) |
Project B (RM) |
1 |
450,000 |
750,000 |
2 |
450,000 |
600,000 |
3 |
550,000 |
300,000 |
4 |
400,000 |
350,000 |
5 |
450,000 |
250,000 |
6 |
450,000 |
300,000 |
a) Find the payback period for each project.
(6 marks)
b) Calculate the NPV of each project at 9.50 percent.
(7 marks)
c) Compute the Profitability Index.
(5 marks)
d) Derive the IRR of each project.
(4 marks)
e) Rank the projects by each of the techniques used. Make and
justify a recommendation.
(8 marks)
A) payback period for Project A
Cash inflows (CFt) | (in RM) | (in RM) | ||
Year | cost | Cash flow | working | cost yet to be recovered |
0 | 1500000 | 0 | 0 | |
1 | 4,50,000 | (1500000-4500000) | 10,50,000 | |
2 | 4,50,000 | (1050000-450000) | 6,00,000 | |
3 | 5,50,000 | (600000-550000) | 50,000 | |
4 | 4,00,000 | (50000-400000) | -3,50,000 | |
5 | 4,50,000 | |||
6 | 4,50,000 | |||
initial cost = 1500000 | ||||
as we can see that the cost to be recovered turns negative in the 4th year | ||||
that means that the cost is recovered during 3rd and 4th year | ||||
Now, Payback period = years before full recovery + (Un recovered investment at start of the year/Cash flow during the year) | ||||
Payback period =3 +(50000/400000) | ||||
Payback period =3.125 years |
Cash inflows (CFt) | ||||
Year | cost | Cash flow | working | cost yet to be recovered |
0 | 1500000 | 0 | 0 | |
1 | 7,50,000 | (1500000-750000) | 7,50,000 | |
2 | 6,00,000 | (750000-600000) | 1,50,000 | |
3 | 3,00,000 | (150000-300000) | -1,50,000 | |
4 | 3,50,000 | |||
5 | 2,50,000 | |||
6 | 3,00,000 | |||
initial cost = 1500000 | ||||
as we can see that the cost to be recovered turns negative in the 4th year | ||||
that means that the cost is recovered between 2nd and 3rd year | ||||
Now, Payback period = years before full recovery + (Unrecovered investment at start of the year/Cash flow during the year) | ||||
Payback period = 2+ (150000/300000) | ||||
Payback period =2.5 years |
B).
Cash inflows (CFt) of Project A | |||||
R= 9.5% | |||||
Year | COST | Cash Flow | working | Discount factor = 1/(1+r)^n | Discounted cash Flow= Cash flow * discount value |
0 | 1500000 | 1/ (1+0.095)^0 | 1.00 | - | |
1 | 4,50,000 | 1/ (1+0.095)^1 | 0.91 | 4,10,958.90 | |
2 | 4,50,000 | 1/ (1+0.095)^2 | 0.83 | 3,75,304.94 | |
3 | 5,50,000 | 1/ (1+0.095^3 | 0.76 | 4,18,909.62 | |
4 | 4,00,000 | 1/ (1+0.095)^4 | 0.70 | 2,78,229.72 | |
5 | 4,50,000 | 1/ (1+0.095)^5 | 0.64 | 2,85,852.45 | |
6 | 4,50,000 | 1/ (1+0.095)^6 | 0.58 | 2,61,052.47 | |
Total | 20,30,308.09 |
Net Present Value = Cash Inflows from Investments – Cost of Investments |
NPV= 2030308.09-1500000 |
NPV= RM 530308.09 |
Cash inflows (CFt) of Project B | |||||
R= 9.5% | |||||
Year | COST | Cash Flow | working | Discount factor = 1/(1+r)^n | Discounted cash Flow= Cash flow * discount value |
0 | 1500000 | 1/ (1+0.095)^0 | 1.00 | - | |
1 | 7,50,000 | 1/ (1+0.095)^1 | 0.91 | 6,84,931.51 | |
2 | 6,00,000 | 1/ (1+0.095)^2 | 0.83 | 5,00,406.58 | |
3 | 3,00,000 | 1/ (1+0.095^3 | 0.76 | 2,28,496.16 | |
4 | 3,50,000 | 1/ (1+0.095)^4 | 0.70 | 2,43,451.00 | |
5 | 2,50,000 | 1/ (1+0.095)^5 | 0.64 | 1,58,806.92 | |
6 | 3,00,000 | 1/ (1+0.095)^6 | 0.58 | 1,74,034.98 | |
Total | 19,90,127.14 |
Net Present Value = Cash Inflows from Investments – Cost of Investments |
NPV= 1990127.14-1500000 |
NPV= RM 4,90,127.14 |
C).
Project A |
Profitability index= Present value of future cash flow/ Initial investment |
as seen in the above table, |
Present value of future cash flow = RM 20,30,308.09 |
initial investment = RM 15,00,000 |
Profitability index= 2030308.09/1500000 |
PI= 1.3535 |
Project B |
Profitability index= Present value of future cash flow/ Initial investment |
as seen in the above table, |
Present value of future cash flow = RM 19,90,127.14 |
initial investment = RM 15,00,000 |
Profitability index= 1990127.14/1500000 |
PI= 1.3267 |
D)
For calculating IRR, NPV= 0 |
So, we calculate the NPV at a assumed rate , IRR, which will provide us neither profit nor loss. |
IRR is calculated through trial and error |
For Project A |
if we take IRR as 20%, |
NPV= -1500000+ 450000/(1+0.2)^1+ 450000/(1.2)^2+ 550000/1.2^3+ 400000/1.2^4+ 450000/1.2^5+ 450000/1.2^6 |
= -1500000+1530237 = 30237 |
which is close to 1500000 |
now lets try 20.5% |
NPV= -1500000+ 450000/(1+0.205)^1+ 450000/(1.205)^2+ 550000/1.205^3+ 400000/1.205^4+ 450000/1.205^5+ 450000/1.205^6 |
NPV= 11,531 |
similarly,Now we can try R as 20.8% |
NPV= 487.81 |
So, we have estimated IRR= 20.8% , where NPv is closest to 0 |
For Project B
For calculating IRR, NPV= 0 |
So, we calculate the NPV at a assumed rate , IRR, which will provide us neither profit nor loss. |
IRR is calculated through trial and error |
For Project B |
if we take IRR as 20%, |
NPV= -1500000+ 750000/(1+0.2)^1+ 600000/(1.2)^2+ 300000/1.2^3+ 350000/1.2^4+ 250000/1.2^5+ 300000/1.2^6 |
= 1585005 -1500000= 85005 |
which is not too close to 1500000 |
now lets try 22% |
NPV= -1500000+ 750000/(1+0.22)^1+ 600000/(1.22)^2+ 300000/1.22^3+ 350000/1.22^4+ 250000/1.22^5+ 300000/1.22^6 |
NPV= 24556 |
similarly,Now we can try R as 23% |
NPV= -4090 |
So we will noe take a value close to 30%, lets take 22.85% |
NPV= 142 |
So, we have estimated IRR= 22.8% , where NPV is closest to 0 |
E)
Project A | Project B | Rank | |
Payback period | 3.125 years | 2.5 years | 1.Project B 2. Project A |
NPV | RM 530308 | RM 490127 | 1.Project A 2. Project B |
PI | 1.35 | 1.32 | 1.Project A 2. Project B |
IRR | 20.80% | 22.80% | 1.Project B 2. Project A |
The NPV method uses a reinvestment rate which is close to its cost of capital and the reinvestment assumptions of the NPV method much are more realistic than those with the IRR method. Also NPV is more realistic in non even cash flow senarios, because uneven cash flow leads to Many IRR and it is difficult to determine the exact rate, |
Thus, NPV is a better indicator of evaluation than IRR |
So We recommend Project A , as it has higher NPV and PI as compared to project B. |
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