West Fraser Timber Company (WFT) is expected to have free cash flow in the coming year of $2 million and its free cash flow is expected maintain at a sustainable growth rate of 4% per year. It has a debt worth $10 million. It’s equity cost of capital is 12%, cost of debt before tax is 6%, and it pays a corporate tax rate of 30%. If WFT Company maintains a debt-equity ratio of 0.5 and the company has 3 million common shares outstanding, what is the fair value of WFT stock?
Solution :
Free cash flow = $2 million
Growth rate = 4%, Debt = $10 million
Cost of debt = 6% or 0.06
Equity cost of capital = 12% or 0.12
Tax rate = 30% or 0.30
Working 1: Calculation of equity
Debt equity ratio = 0.5
Debt / Equity = 0.5
$10 million / Equity = 0.5
Equity = $10 million / 0.5
Equity = $20 million
Working 2: Weighted average cost of capital (WACC)
WACC = (Debt / (Equity + Debt) * Cost of debt * (1 - tax rate)) + (Equity / (Equity + Debt) * Cost of equity))
Using given details ,
WACC = ($10 million/($20 million + $10 million) * 0.06 * (1 - 0.30)) + ($20 million / $20 million + $10 million) * 0.12
WACC = (0.3333 * 0.06 * 0.70) + (0.6667 * 0.12)
WACC = 0.0140 + 0.080 = 0.094 or 9.4%
Working 3: Calculation of value of WFT
Value of WFT = Expected free cash flows / (WACC - Growth rate
Here,
Expected free cash flows = $2 million
WACC (as per working 2) = 0.094
Growth rate = 4% or 0.04
Now put the values into the above formula:
Value of WFT = $2 million / (0.094 - 0.04)
Value of WFT = $37.04 million
Working 4: Calculation of fair value of WFT stock
Fair value of stock = Value of WFT / Outstanding common shares
Here,
Value of WFT = $37.04 million
Outstanding common shares = 3 million shares
Now,
Fair value of stock =$37.04 million/3 million shares
Fair value of stock = $12.35 per share
Note: Figures are rounded off upto 4 decimals.
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