“Killing Season” is a British medical term used to describe the period in August when newly qualified doctors enter the National Health Service. Around this time there is an up tick in medical misdiagnosis and surgical complications. A similar phenomenon exists in the US and occurs in the month of July3 . The probability that a doctor correctly diagnoses a particular illness is 0.7. Given that the doctor makes an incorrect diagnosis, the probability that the patient files a lawsuit is 0.4. At any given time 15% of all doctors are facing lawsuits.
(a) What is the probability that a doctor facing a lawsuit made a correct diagnosis.
(b) What is the probability that a doctor facing a lawsuit made an incorrect diagnosis?
a)P(correct diagnosis|lawsuit )=P(correct diagnosis and lawsuit)/P(lawsuit) =(0.15-(1-0.7)*0.4)/0.15 =0.2
b) P(Incorrect diagnosis|lawsuit )=P(incorrect diagnosis and lawsuit)/P(lawsuit) =(1-0.7)*0.4/0.15 =0.8
“Killing Season” is a British medical term used to describe the period in August when newly...
1. Which of the following is PROBABLY a case of medical malpractice? I. A doctor neither monitors nor diagnoses cerebral bleeding in a patient with a head injury, resulting in the patient's death. II. A doctor does not examine a person with an eye injury, resulting in vision loss. II. An incorrect diagnosis of cancer on a biopsy (pathology) inspection, leading to unnecessary surgery. A. III only B. I only C. II only D. I, II, III 2. Margaret was...