Let’s say that the mean return of mutual funds in the last quarter is 2.8% with a standard deviation of 4.5%. Assume the returns are symmetrically distributed. Find the return value(s) that would separate the a. top 2.5% b. middle 99.7% c. bottom 84%
Solution :
mean =
= 2.8% = 0.028
standard deviation =
= 4.5% = 0.045
Using standard normal table,
(a)
P(Z > z) = 2.5%
1 - P(Z < z) = 0.025
P(Z < z) = 1 - 0.025 = 0.975
P(Z < 1.96) = 0.975
z = 1.96
Using z-score formula,
x = z *
+
x = 1.96 * 0.045 + 0.028 = 0.1162
Return value = 11.62%
(b)
Middle 99.7% has the z values are : -2.97 and +2.97
x = -2.97 * 0.045 + 0.028 = -0.10
x = 2.97 * 0.045 + 0.028 = 0.162 = 16.2%
Return values are : 0 and 16.2%
(c)
P(Z < z) = 0.84
P(Z < 1) = 0.975
z = 1
Using z-score formula,
x = z *
+
x = 1 * 0.045 + 0.028 = 0.073
Return value = 7.3%
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