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21. Johnson Software has developed a new software package. The company’s marketing department has prepared the...

21. Johnson Software has developed a new software package. The company’s marketing department has prepared the following forecasts for the new software with probability distributions describing the likely levels of sales and income (or loss) under each scenario. Monthly Sales (units) Probability Income (Loss) 10,000 20% $14,000 20,000 30% $10,000 30,000 30% $30,000 40,000 20% $60,000 If Johnson goes ahead to market its new software package what is the expected monthly gain in income that it should include in its plan for the coming year?

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Answer #1

Expected monthly gain in Income = Sum of Income * Probability

= 14000*20%+ 10000*30% + 30000*30% + 60000*20%

=$26800

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