Question

The Korean stock market this year can be extremely bad, bad, good, or extremely good. The...

The Korean stock market this year can be extremely bad, bad, good, or extremely good. The
following table shows the probabilities and the stock returns corresponding to the four states of
the market. What is the expected return of KOSPI this year?

Extremely Bad Bad Good Extremely good
Probability .05 0.35 .45 .15
KOSPI -20% -4% 12% 30%


1) 5.5%
2) 6.5%
3) 7.5%
4) 8.5%
5) 9.5%

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