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A newly issued bond has a maturity of 10 years and pays a 7% coupon rate (with coupon payments coming once annually). The bonΔΡ c. What price would be predicted by the modified duration rule -D * Ay? What is the percentage error of that rule? (Negati

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Answer #1

a). Duration = 7.515 years; Convexity = 64.933

Formula Time until payment (n) Cash flow (CF) CF/(1+YTM)^n PV/BP wen PV of CF Weight (w) Weighted Time 6.54 0.07 0.07 6.11 0.

Convexity calculation:

Formula Time until payment (n) Cash flow (CF) CF/(1+YTM)^n PV of CFL 6.54 6.11 5.71 5.34 4.99 4.66 4.36 4.07 3.81 54.39 PV(n^

Convexity = 7,434.17/(Price*(1+y)^2) = 7,434.17/(100*(1+7%)^2) = 64.933

b). Actual price with YTM 8%: FV = 100; PMT = 70; N = 10; rate = 8%, solve for PV.

Price = 93.29

c). Modified duration (D*) = duration/(1+y) = 7.515/(1+0.07) = 7.02

Change in Price = - Price*(d*)*change in yield = -100*7.02*0.01 = -7.02

New price = 100 -7.02 = 92.98

%age price change = (new price/old price) -1 = (92.98/100) -1 = -7.02%

%age error = (predicted price-actual price)/actual price = (92.98/93.29)-1 = -0.34%

d). Change in price = Price*[(-D**change in yield) + 0.5*(Convexity*change in yield^2)]

= 100*[(-7.02*0.01) + 0.5*(64.933*0.01^2)] = -6.70

New price = 100 - 6.70 = 93.30

%age price change = (93.30/100) -1 = -6.70%

%age error = (93.30/93.29) -1 = 0.01%

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