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Problem 12-14 (Algorithmic) The management of Madeira Manufacturing Company is considering the introduction of a new...

Problem 12-14 (Algorithmic)

The management of Madeira Manufacturing Company is considering the introduction of a new product. The fixed cost to begin the production of the product is $38,000. The variable cost for the product is uniformly distributed between $18 and $24 per unit. The product will sell for $58 per unit. Demand for the product is best described by a normal probability distribution with a mean of 1,100 units and a standard deviation of 300 units. Develop an Excel worksheet simulation for this problem. Use 500 simulation trials to answer the following questions:

  1. What is the mean profit for the simulation? Round your answer to the nearest dollar.

    Mean profit = $   
  2. What is the probability that the project will result in a loss? Recalculate the numerical value of probability in percent and then round your answer to the nearest whole number.

    Probability of Loss =  %
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Answer #1

The simulation model is following:

A P C F H 1 Parameters Result 2 Fixed Cost 38000 3 Variable Cost a) Mean profit 2456 4 Min Value 18 Max Value 5 24 6 Selling

FORMULAS:

=NORMINV (RAND(),$B$8,$B$9) fx B13 A P C D E Result 1 Parameters 2 Fixed Cost 3 Variable Cost: 38000 a) Mean profit AVERAGE(F

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