Question

Two days later, the National Hurricane Center projected the path of Isaac would pass directly over Cuba before reaching the Gulf of Mexico. Hurricanes that reach the Gulf of Mexico have a .08 probability of having passed over Cuba. Tropical storms that reach the Gulf of Mexico have a .20 probability of having passed over Cuba. How did passing over Cuba alter the probability that Isaac would become a hurricane by the time it reached the Gulf of Mexico? Use the above probabilities to answer this question. P(C|H) .08 (to 2 decimals) P(C|T) .20 (to 2 decimals) P(H|C) (to 4 decimals) c. What happens to the probability of becoming a hurricane when a tropical storm passes over a landmass such as Cuba? . (to 2 decimals) to (to 4 dec

Answer 1

Salutien et vent that Isaoc passes Oul Cuka C hurricane by H = muut Isaac bbeceme a the time it ruacnes the Gjulk o mixico Auent ISaac.d os not becone a T hushicane amd umains ropical stalni uihen Gut omexico t guaunis tini PCH) o.69 PLT) PCHC) 16 PCH) 0.69 E 0.3/ PCC/H) PCCT)= 0 20 PLH) PLCIH) P(Hc) PiH) PCIH)+PtJPClT o69)x(o08) CoA(o08)+(03)(0-20 0.05S 2 =0.470 0 0552 0 06 2 cenelusion passing Cnel a lamdmas suhas Cuba tends to slou omd boiuk upafroblal Stosm. Shousfnat tnat foopical stosm Isaa woula hrrican by the tie t ^achte Gult o menico droppea frem o69. to470hen wa uined that: tne puofeetca patn oftsaa the pobablity buuome a was ous uuba.

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