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using relevant examples in the risk and insurance industry explain the following terms a) probability of...

using relevant examples in the risk and insurance industry explain the following terms

a) probability of default

b) exposure at default

c) loss given default

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Answer #1

Let us take the example of a credit card company.

A Credit Card Company has the following arrangement with a Credit Insurance Company: The CC company pays a monthly fee of Rs. 500 to the credit insurance firm for every credit card it issues . In return, the CI Company pays the CC company 80% of the money which the credit card holder owes the CC company in case he/she fails to pay by the due date. Situation: Client A does not pay his/her dues before the due date. The CC company approaches the CI company and files a claim. The CI company asks the CC company the claim amount, i.e. What are your losses?The CC company replies as follows: The last statement balance of Client A is RR. You will take 10 days to process our claim and pay the damage . In these 10 days we expect Client A to draw y% of his credit limit. So our total claim is: x+((y/10e)*creditlimit) This amount is called the Exposure at Default (EAD) Now the CC company is calculating the losses it incurred: The CI company is going to pay CC 0.8EAD The CC company paid 500 per month for n years. Let V be the value of a recurring deposit of the same value Let D be the discount factor for 10 days. Then the Rate of Recovery is defined as: RRD (0.8*EAD)-V)/EAD The Loss Given Default is defined as LGD 1-RProbability of Default: It is calculated based on previous available data usin some or the other techniques (like regression analysis) Assume that the CC Company maintains a database of client profiles. It collect the following data from its clients: Annual Income Marital Status Members in the family Area of residence Ownership of real estate Possession of a four wheeler. Educational Qualifications Designation at the work place Existing loans Credit Then, a regression model can be build to predict the probability of defaultThe Expected Loss is defined as PD × EAD × LGD.

Please do rate me and mention doubts ,if any, in the comments section .

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