In a survey, 15 people were asked how much they spent on their
child's last birthday gift. The results were roughly bell-shaped
with a mean of $42 and standard deviation of $5. Estimate how much
a typical parent would spend on their child's birthday gift (use a
90% confidence level).
Give your answers to one decimal place. Provide the point estimate
and margin or error.
Do you add ( ) when answering?
Solution :
Given that,
Point estimate (x̅)= $42
s = $5
n = $15
Degrees of freedom = df = n - 1 = 15 - 1 = 14
At 90% confidence level the t is ,
α= 1 - 90% = 1 - 0.90 = 0.1
α/ 2 = 0.1 / 2 = 0.05
tα/2,df = t0.05,14 = 1.761
Margin of error = E = tα/2,df* (s √n)
= 1.761* (5 / √15)
E = 2.273
The 90% confidence interval estimate of the population mean is,
x̅- E < μ < x̅ + E
42 - 2.273 < μ < 42 + 2.273
39.727< μ < 44.273
($39.7,$44.3)
A typical parent should spend on their child birthday gift from $39.7 to $44.3.
SOLUTION :
Sample size, n = 15 . It is less than 30, so t-distribution will apply.
For sample of size 15, degree of freedom = 15 - 1 = 14.
Confidence level = 90% = 0.90
So, alpha = 1 - 0.90 = 0.10 (on two tail basis)
Hence, t for df 14, and alpha = 0.10 (two tails) = 1.761
Hence, for 90% CL, spending can vary by 1.761 value of t on either side of mean
SD of population = 5 / sqrt(n) = 5/sqrt(15) = 1.291
So, Margin / Error , E at 90% CL :
= +/- t * SD of population
=+/- 1.761 * 1.291
= +/- 2.2735
= +/- 2.27 ($) approx. (ANSWER).
Parents spend at 90% CL :
Lower limit = Mean - E = 42 - 2.27 = 39.73 ($) (ANSWER)
UPPER LIMIT = Mean + E = 42 + 2.27 = 44.27 ($) (ANSWER).
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