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We are evaluating a project that costs $837,790, has an eight-year life, and has no salvage value. Assume that depreciation i
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Answer #1

1). OCF = (Sales*(Price per unit - Variable cost per unit) - Fixed cost)*(1-Tax rate) + (Depreciation*Tax rate)

Depreciation = initial cost/life = 837,790/8 = 104,723.75

OCF = (62,239*(36-19) - 424,751)*(1-35%) + (104,723.75*35%) = 448,306.11 (This is the OCF with VC = 19)

Now, assume that VC = 20.

New OCF = (62,239*(36-20) - 424,751)*(1-35%) + (104,723.75*35%) = 407,850.76

Change in OCF = new OCF - old OCF = 407,850.76 -448,306.11 = 40,455.35 (Ignore negative sign as we are measuring sensitivity)

Change in VC = 20-19 = 1

Sensitivity of OCF to VC = (Change in OCF/change in VC)% = 4,045,535.00%

6). Best-case NPV = 1,145,743.95

Formula Base case Formula Best case
Initial Outlay (IO) 680,403 680,403
Life (n) 5 5
IO/n Depreciation (D) 136,080.60 136,080.60
Sales (S) 45,496 Sbase-case*(1+10%) 50,045.60
Price per unit (P) 45 Pbase-case*(1+10%) 49.50
Variable cost per unit (VC) 26 VCbase-case*(1-10%) 23.40
Fixed cost (FC) 525,466 FCbase-case*(1-10%) 472,919.40
Tax rate (T) 30% 30%
(S*(P-VC)-FC)*(1-T)+(D*T) OCF 278,094.78 624,113.71
Return 21% 21%
Using PV function with OCF Present Value of OCF (PV) 813,700.97 1,826,146.95
PV - IO NPV 133,297.97 1,145,743.95
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