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Case study expanding into the fruit juice business with a new fresh lemon juice Allied Food Products is considering expanding
Part I) 1. What is sensitivity analysis? 2. How would you perform a sensitivity analysis on the unit sales. salvage value and
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Answer #1
Years
0 1 2 3 4
I. Investment Outlays
Equipment Cost       200,000
Shipping and Installation        40,000
CAPEX       240,000
Increase in Inventory        25,000
Increase in Accounts Payable         -5,000
Change in NWC        20,000
II. Project Operating Cash Flows
Unit Sales 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000
Price per Unit             2             2             2             2
Total Revenues 200,000 200,000 200,000 200,000 Unit Sales x Price per unit
Operating Costs (w/o deprn) 120,000 120,000 120,000 120,000 Total Revenue/ 60%
Depreciation     96,750     75,250     32,250     10,750 (Total Capex - Salvage Value) x Depn rates
Total Costs 216,750 195,250 152,250 130,750
EBIT (Opearting Income)    -16,750      4,750     47,750     69,250 Total Revenue - Total Costs
Taxes on operating income     -3,518         998     10,028     14,543 EBIT x 21%
Profit after taxes    -13,233      3,753     37,723     54,708 EBIT - Taxes
Add back depreciation     96,750     75,250     32,250     10,750
Profit after taxes + Depn     83,518     79,003     69,973     65,458
III. Project Termination Cash Flows
Salvage Value     25,000
Tax on salvage value      5,250 Salvage Value x 21%
After Tax salvage value     19,750 Salvage Value - Tax
Recover of NWC     20,000
Project Free Cash Flows      -260,000     83,518     79,003     69,973 105,208 CAPEX+Change in NWC+Profit after taxes adding depren+After Tax Salv+NWC reco
PV Factor @ 10%        1.0000     0.9091     0.8264     0.7513     0.6830
Discounted Cash Flow      -260,000     75,925     65,291     52,571     71,858
NPV          5,646

Since NPV > 0, then project can be accepted

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