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Consider the following information: STOCK D Economy Recession Normal Boom Probability of State of Economy .23 .63 .14 Rate of

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Answer #1
a. Expected return
Stock A 13.82%
Stock B 18.74%
Working:
Stock A: Stock B:
Economy Probability rate of return Economy Probability rate of return
a b c=a*b a b c=a*b
Recession 0.23 0.05 1.15% Recession 0.23 -0.43 -9.89%
Normal 0.63 0.13 8.19% Normal 0.63 0.33 20.79%
Boom 0.14 0.32 4.48% Boom 0.14 0.56 7.84%
Expected return 13.82% Expected return 18.74%
b. Standard deviation
Stock A 8.04%
Stock B 9.42%
Working:
Calculation of variance:
Stock A: Stock B:
Economy Probability rate of return Expected return Economy Probability rate of return Expected return
a b c d=((b-c)^2)*a a b c d=((b-c)^2)*a
Recession 0.23 0.05 13.82% 0.001789225 Recession 0.23 0.05 18.74% 0.004342115
Normal 0.63 0.13 13.82% 0.000042361 Normal 0.63 0.13 18.74% 0.002075699
Boom 0.14 0.32 13.82% 0.004627174 Boom 0.14 0.32 18.74% 0.002461586
Variance 0.00645876 Variance 0.0088794
Standard deviation = Variance ^ (1/2) Standard deviation = Variance ^ (1/2)
= 0.006459 ^(1/2) = 0.008879 ^(1/2)
= 8.04% = 9.42%
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