a. | Expected return | ||||||||||
Stock A | 13.82% | ||||||||||
Stock B | 18.74% | ||||||||||
Working: | |||||||||||
Stock A: | Stock B: | ||||||||||
Economy | Probability | rate of return | Economy | Probability | rate of return | ||||||
a | b | c=a*b | a | b | c=a*b | ||||||
Recession | 0.23 | 0.05 | 1.15% | Recession | 0.23 | -0.43 | -9.89% | ||||
Normal | 0.63 | 0.13 | 8.19% | Normal | 0.63 | 0.33 | 20.79% | ||||
Boom | 0.14 | 0.32 | 4.48% | Boom | 0.14 | 0.56 | 7.84% | ||||
Expected return | 13.82% | Expected return | 18.74% | ||||||||
b. | Standard deviation | ||||||||||
Stock A | 8.04% | ||||||||||
Stock B | 9.42% | ||||||||||
Working: | |||||||||||
Calculation of variance: | |||||||||||
Stock A: | Stock B: | ||||||||||
Economy | Probability | rate of return | Expected return | Economy | Probability | rate of return | Expected return | ||||
a | b | c | d=((b-c)^2)*a | a | b | c | d=((b-c)^2)*a | ||||
Recession | 0.23 | 0.05 | 13.82% | 0.001789225 | Recession | 0.23 | 0.05 | 18.74% | 0.004342115 | ||
Normal | 0.63 | 0.13 | 13.82% | 0.000042361 | Normal | 0.63 | 0.13 | 18.74% | 0.002075699 | ||
Boom | 0.14 | 0.32 | 13.82% | 0.004627174 | Boom | 0.14 | 0.32 | 18.74% | 0.002461586 | ||
Variance | 0.00645876 | Variance | 0.0088794 | ||||||||
Standard deviation | = | Variance ^ (1/2) | Standard deviation | = | Variance ^ (1/2) | ||||||
= | 0.006459 | ^(1/2) | = | 0.008879 | ^(1/2) | ||||||
= | 8.04% | = | 9.42% |
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