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consider the following information state of economy recession probability of state of economy .18 rate of return if state occurs stock a .09

Problem 13-7 Calculating Returns and Standard Deviations [LO1] Consider the following information Rate of Return If State Occ
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Probability Return of stock A Probability x Return
Recession 18% 9% 1.62%
Normal 59% 12% 7.08%
Boom 23% 17% 3.91%
Expected Return on Stock A 12.61%
Probability Return of stock B Probability x Return
Recession 18% -13% -2.34%
Normal 59% 16% 9.44%
Boom 23% 33% 7.59%
Expected Return on Stock B 14.69%
Probability Return of stock A (return -Expected return)^2*Probability
Recession 18% 9%                                                                     0.00023
Normal 59% 12%                                                                     0.00002
Boom 23% 17%                                                                     0.00044
Total                                                                     0.00070
Standard deviation =Sqrt of .000700 2.65%
Probability Return of stock B (return -Expected return)^2*Probability
Recession 18% -13%                                                                            0.01
Normal 59% 16%                                                                            0.00
Boom 23% 33%                                                                            0.01
Total                                                                            0.02
Standard deviation= sqrt of .02 14.70%
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