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4.(24 points) The latest issue of The Economist reports that interest rates on 10-year government bonds are 8.05% in Indonesia, 2.84% in Poland, and 0.01% in Japan, respectively. Assume that government debt is equally risky in each of these countries (a) (2 points each) If PPP holds at all times, we would expect the following changes in exchange rates over the next year: own no changc cannot tell Indonesian Rupiah per Polish Zloty Polish Zloty per Japanesc Yen Japanese Yen per Indonesian Rupiah (b) (3 points each) Suppose (only) the Bank Sentral Republik Indonesia, Indonesias central bank, doubles the money supply. If PPP holds at all times, we would expect the following changes over the next year: down no change cannot tell Yen per Rupiah Exchange RateOO OO Inflation in Japan Inflation in Indonesia Nominal interest rates in IndonesiaOOO Nominal interest rates in Poland OO OO The real risk-free long-run interest rate

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Answer #1

a) Answers are given assuming Flexible exchange rate and Capital mobility.

Given here. Interest return in Indonesia= 8.05%, poland= 2.84% and Japan 0.01%

1) Indonesian Rupiah per Polish Zloty goes: Down

Reason: Since interest rate differential(8.05% - 2.84%) is in favour of Indonesia, there will be capital inflow in Indonesia. This will raise the demand of Indonesian Rupiah and leads to its appreciation. Due to appreciation,(increase in the value of currency), the exchange rate goes down.

2) Polish Zloty per yen goes: Down

Reason: Since interest rate differential(2.84%- 0.01%) is in favour of Indonesia, there will be capital inflow in Poland. This will raise the demand of Polish Zloty and leads to its appreciation. Due to appreciation,(increase in the value of currency), the exchange rate goes down.

3) Yen per Indonesian Rupiah: Goes up

Since interest rate differential(8.05% - 2.84%) is in favour of Indonesia, there will be capital outflow in Japan. There will be fall in the demand of Yen and leads to its Depreciation. Due to Depreciation,(fall in the value of currency), the exchange rate goes up.

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