Requirement (a). Target stock price in five years
Target stock price in five years = Earnings per share (EPS) in Year 5 x Benchmark P/E Ratio
Earnings per share (EPS) in Year 5 = D5 / Pay-out Ratio
Dividend per share in Year 0 (D0) = $1.31 per share
Dividend per share in Year 1 (D1) = $1.5196 per share [$1.31 x 116%]
Dividend per share in Year 2 (D2) = $1.7627 per share [$1.5196 x 116%]
Dividend per share in Year 3 (D3) = $2.0448 per share [$1.7627 x 116%]
Dividend per share in Year 4 (D4) = $2.3719 per share [$2.0448 x 116%]
Dividend per share in Year 5 (D5) = $2.7514 per share [$2.3719 x 116%]
Earnings per share (EPS) in Year 5 = D5 / Pay-out Ratio
= $2.7514 per share / 0.30
= $9.1715 per share
Target stock price in five years = Earnings per share (EPS) in Year 5 x Benchmark P/E Ratio
= $9.1715 per share x 19 Times
= $174.26 per share
“Hence, Target stock price in five years will be $174.26”
Requirement (b) - Stock price today
The stock price today is the aggregate of present value of future dividends and the price at the end of 5th year
Year |
Cash flow ($) |
Present Value factor at 14.00% |
Stock price ($) |
1 |
1.5196 |
0.87719 |
1.33 |
2 |
1.7627 |
0.76947 |
1.36 |
3 |
2.0448 |
0.67497 |
1.38 |
4 |
2.3719 |
0.59208 |
1.40 |
5 |
2.7514 |
0.51937 |
1.43 |
5 |
174.26 |
0.51937 |
90.50 |
TOTAL |
97.41 |
||
“Hence, the Stock price today will be $97.41”
NOTE
The Formula for calculating the Present Value Factor is [1/(1 + r)n], Where “r” is the Discount/Interest Rate and “n” is the number of years.
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