Juan has just won a lottery. He can get $14 million now (after-tax, lumpsum or one-time option), or he can get $1 million annually for 25 years starting today (after-tax, 25 payments of $1 million each). Whichever option he chooses, he can save his money at a local bank, which is offering a 7% per year return on deposits. Juan is not sure if he should pick a lumpsum option or 25-payments option. He comes to you for help. What is the benefit (or loss) of choosing the lumpsum option in today’s dollars?
PV of 25 Year CFs:
PV of CF = CF * PVF(r%, n)
r is int rate per anum, nth year.
Year | CF | PVF @7% | Disc CF |
0 | $ 10,00,000.00 | 1.0000 | $ 10,00,000.00 |
1 | $ 10,00,000.00 | 0.9346 | $ 9,34,579.44 |
2 | $ 10,00,000.00 | 0.8734 | $ 8,73,438.73 |
3 | $ 10,00,000.00 | 0.8163 | $ 8,16,297.88 |
4 | $ 10,00,000.00 | 0.7629 | $ 7,62,895.21 |
5 | $ 10,00,000.00 | 0.7130 | $ 7,12,986.18 |
6 | $ 10,00,000.00 | 0.6663 | $ 6,66,342.22 |
7 | $ 10,00,000.00 | 0.6227 | $ 6,22,749.74 |
8 | $ 10,00,000.00 | 0.5820 | $ 5,82,009.10 |
9 | $ 10,00,000.00 | 0.5439 | $ 5,43,933.74 |
10 | $ 10,00,000.00 | 0.5083 | $ 5,08,349.29 |
11 | $ 10,00,000.00 | 0.4751 | $ 4,75,092.80 |
12 | $ 10,00,000.00 | 0.4440 | $ 4,44,011.96 |
13 | $ 10,00,000.00 | 0.4150 | $ 4,14,964.45 |
14 | $ 10,00,000.00 | 0.3878 | $ 3,87,817.24 |
15 | $ 10,00,000.00 | 0.3624 | $ 3,62,446.02 |
16 | $ 10,00,000.00 | 0.3387 | $ 3,38,734.60 |
17 | $ 10,00,000.00 | 0.3166 | $ 3,16,574.39 |
18 | $ 10,00,000.00 | 0.2959 | $ 2,95,863.92 |
19 | $ 10,00,000.00 | 0.2765 | $ 2,76,508.33 |
20 | $ 10,00,000.00 | 0.2584 | $ 2,58,419.00 |
21 | $ 10,00,000.00 | 0.2415 | $ 2,41,513.09 |
22 | $ 10,00,000.00 | 0.2257 | $ 2,25,713.17 |
23 | $ 10,00,000.00 | 0.2109 | $ 2,10,946.88 |
24 | $ 10,00,000.00 | 0.1971 | $ 1,97,146.62 |
PV of Annuity CF | $ 1,24,69,334.00 |
Receiving $ 14 M is better as PV of future CFs is $ 12,469,334.00
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