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7. An analyst has estimated UALs stock returns under the following economic states: Er Economic State Recession Below averag
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Answer #1

Expected return on stock is probability weighted return on the stock

Expected return = Probability1 * Return1 + Probability2 * Return2 + Probability3 * Return3 + Probability4 * Return4

Expected Return = 0.20 * -15% + 0.30 * -5% + 0.30 * 15% + 0.20 * 40%

Expected Return = -3% - 1.50% + 4.50% + 8% = 8.00%

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