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Suppose you observe the following situation: Return if State Occurs Probability of State State of Economy Boom Normal Bust St
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Answer #1

Following is the table with the calculation of expected return:

State Probability A Probability weighted B Probability weighted
Boom 0.19 -6.00% 0.19 x-0.06=-1.14% -7.00% 0.19 x-0.07=-1.33%
Normal 0.74 15.00% 0.74 x 0.15=11.1% 16.00% 0.74 x 0.16=11.84%
Bust 0.07 52.00% 0.07 x 0.52=3.64% 33.00% 0.07 x 0.33=2.31%
Expected return -1.14+11.1+3.64= 13.60% -1.33+11.84+2.31= 12.82%

Ta=r; + Bax (rm -rf)

To=rf + Box (rm -rf)

here

  • r_{a} = expected return of stock A
  • r_{b} = expected return of stock B

  • r_{f} = risk free return

  • r_{m} = market return

13.60 = rf + Ba x rm -rf)

12.82 = r; +(Ba -0.13) x (rm -rf)

Solving 7 -16

13.60 – 12.82 = (Ba - Ba +0.13) x (rm -rf)

(rm -rf) = 6

Therefore market risk premium = 6%

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