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Rate of Return If State Occurs State of Probability of State of Economy Economy Stock A Stock B Stock C .55 .06 14 Boom Bust

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state of economy rate of return if state occurs Stock A stock B Stock C 0.06 0.14 0.34 0.10 0.02 -0.70 weighted return (weighstate of economy deviation “2x probability rate of return if state occurs Stock A Stock B Stock C 0.06 0.14 0.34 0.10 0.02 -0

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