Low-regular-and-extra-dividend Policy Example based on EPS and Dividend Payout ratio :
Dividend Payout ratio = Dividends Paid / Net Income = 1 - Retention Ratio
Dividend Payout ratio can be determined with the help of Retention Ratio where -
Retention Ratio = (Net Income - Dividend Distributed) / Net Income
It is obvious from above formula that this ratio shows percentage of net income distributed to shareholders as Dividend.
Since EPS = Net Income / No of shares outstanding, on a per share basis,
Dividend Payout Ratio = Dividend Per Share / EPS
In the instant case, we can tabulate the given info and calculate as follows :
Year | Earnings Per Share | Regular Dividend | Dividend Payout Ratio | Dividend @ 25% Payout Ratio | Difference between Regular Dividend & 25% Payout | |
a | b | c | d = c / b | e = b X 25% | f = c - e | |
2014 | 1.47 | 0.60 | 41% | 0.37 | 0.23 | |
2015 | 2.29 | 0.60 | 26% | 0.57 | 0.03 | |
2016 | 3.77 | 0.60 | 16% | 0.94 | (0.34) | |
2017 | 3.61 | 0.60 | 17% | 0.90 | (0.30) | |
2018 | 3.65 | 0.60 | 16% | 0.91 | (0.31) | |
2019 | 3.96 | 0.60 | 15% | 0.99 | (0.39) |
Answers to questions based on above calculations :
1) Fourth column d of above Table gives the dividend payout ratio for relevant year. e.g. for 2014 it is 41% while for 2019 it is 15%
2) Sixth Column f of above Table gives the difference between regular dividend of 0.60 compared with 25% payout each year.
3) As the results of sixth column f shows that there is not a single instance where the difference between regular dividend of 0.60 with respect to 25% dividend payout ratio amounted to $ 1 or more, there is no need to pay extra dividend of $ 0.25 for any year.
Extra earnings are retained in business and are used to expand, diversify and use the same for business purposes. Some times the same may be used for dividend equalization purposes to maintain dividend in lean/adverse period/s.
4) If the firm expects to be able to maintain an EPS of at least $ 3.61 in most years in future, it should consider following factors prior to changing its regular dividend policy :
If the firm decides to revise, based on its belief that it shall be able to maintain EPS of $ 3.61, it may change its regular dividend from current $ 0.60 per share and increase it to minimum $ 1 per share to $ 1.20 which shall roughly give a payout of 25% to 33% per year and can retain the balance for future expansion and/or to meet unplanned surprises/shocks due to its cyclical nature of business. This shall effectively result in almost doubling of current dividend of $ 0.60. The company needs to see check whether this sends any wrong and unintended signals and hurts its well earned reputation with respect to stability, growth and expansion. If it is going to be the case, then it may gradually increase the dividend from current firm 0.60 to 0.75 and then 0.90 and like that till it reaches its decided firm. This shall also give the company time to test its assumptions about EPS and add to its core competencies to withstand cyclical nature of its business. It all depends on how management views (with Shareholders' consent, of course) as to how much of dividend distribution is best in the interest of the company and its shareholders that shall eventually determine the rise in current dividend.
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a. Payout ratio for year 2014 on the basis of the regular dividend of $ 0.60 and the cited EPS is 40.8%.
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