There are two time steps of 3 months each. We will use the binomial method of valuing options.
Given information:
St = $40
X = 42.5
Rf = 4%
= 38%
For binomial, we will need to calculate the upside change and the downside change and apply it two times because of two steps. The formula to calculate this is given below:
1 + upside change = u =
1+ downside change = d = 1/u
probability of upside p =
where e is the base of natural logarithm = 2.718
h = time interval = 3 months = 3/12 years
r = risk free rate
q = dividend rate
Substitute the given values:
u = = 1.2092
d = 1/u = 0.8270
p = = 0.4759
1-p = 0.5211
Create the binomial tree using the calculated values as follows:
Put option is a bearish strategy. If the stock price moves up higher than the exercise price, then the payoff is zero, whereas if the stock price falls below the exercise price then there is a profit of (X-St).
Step 1 (St1) | option payoff | Step 2 (St2) | option payoff | ||
upside (St*u) | $48.37 (St1 = St*u) |
$0.00 (because the stock price is > $42) |
upside | $58.49 (St2 = St1*u) | 0
(because the stock price is > $42) |
downside | $40.00 (St2 = St1*d) | $2.00 ($42-$40) | |||
downside (St*d) | $33.08 (St1 = St*d) |
$8.5 ($42*e(-4%*3/12)- $33.08) The discounting of X is required only for European and not American option. |
upside | $40.00 (St2 = St1*u) | |
downside | $27.35 (St2 = St1*d) | $14.65 ($42-$27.35) |
Now, we will have to calculate the present value of the payoffs and add the payoffs based on the probability.
Put option price = First step + second step
First step = p*0 + (1-p) * 8.5*e-4%*3/12 = 0 + 4.3869 = 4.3869
Second step= p * p * 0 + p*(1-p)*2*e-4%*6/12 +(1-p)*(1-p) * 14.65*e-4%*6/12 .= 0 + 0.4892 +3.8977 = 4.3869
substituting the value of p we get,
European Put option price = 4.3869 + 4.3869 = 8.7739
Part b)
Here we have an American option instead of European and the stock pays dividend.
We will make two changes to the calculations above.
1. We will use the dividend rate to calculate the probability
2. We will not discount the strike price X in Step 1.
p = = = 0.4592
1-p = 0.5408
Now we calculate the binomial tree as follows
Step 1 (St1) | option payoff | Step 2 (St2) | option payoff | ||
upside (St*u) | $48.37 (St1 = St*u) |
$0.00 (because the stock price is > $42) |
upside | $58.49 (St2 = St1*u) | 0
(because the stock price is > $42) |
downside | $40.00 (St2 = St1*d) | $2.00 ($42-$40) | |||
downside (St*d) | $33.08 (St1 = St*d) |
$8.92 ($42 - $33.08) The discounting of X is not required for American option as one can exercise. |
upside | $40.00 (St2 = St1*u) | |
downside | $27.35 (St2 = St1*d) | $14.65 ($42-$27.35) |
Now, we will have to calculate the present value of the payoffs and add the payoffs based on the probability.
Put option price = First step + second step
First step = p*0 + (1-p) * 8.5*e-4%*3/12 = 0 + 4.7769 = 4.7769
Second step= p * p * 0 + p*(1-p)*2*e-4%*6/12 +(1-p)*(1-p) * 14.65*e-4%*6/12 .= 0 + 0.4868 +4.1986 = 4.6855
substituting the value of p we get,
American Put option price = 4.7769+ 4.6855= 9.4624
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