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3.2.8 Suppose that a medical test has a 92% chance of detecting a disease if the person has it (i.e., 92% sensitiv- ity) and a 94% chance of correctly indicating that the dis- ease is absent if the person really does not have the disease (ie,94% specificity). Suppose 10% of the popu- lation has the disease. (a) What is the probability that a randomly chosen person will test positive? (b) Suppose that a randomly chosen person does test positive. What is the probability that this person really has the disease?
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