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a. Assuming that the expectations hypothesis is valid, compute the price of the four-year bond shown below at the end of () t
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a. Computation of Expected Price

Year Bond Price Forward Rate Expected Price
1         955.90 4.61% 766.39
2         916.47 4.30% 801.76
3         834.12 9.87% 836.24
4         766.39 8.84% 918.77

We need to calculate Forward rate in order to calculate expected price of Bond

Forward Rate for 1st Year = ( 1000 / 955.90 ) -1 = 4.61 %

Forward Rate for 2nd Year = ( 955.90 / 916.47 ) -1 = 4.30 %

  Forward Rate for 3rd Year = ( 916.47 / 834.12 ) - 1 = 9.87 %

  Forward Rate for 4th Year = ( 834.12 / 766.39 ) -1 = 8.84 %

Calculation of Expected Price

Expected Price of 4th year = 1000 / ( 1 + 0.0884 ) = $918.77

  Expected Price of 3rd year = 918.77 / ( 1 + 0.0987 ) = $836.24

Expected Price of 2nd year = 836.24 / ( 1 + 0.0430 ) = $801.76

  Expected Price of 1st year = 801.76 / ( 1 + 0.0461 ) = $766.39

b. Calculation of Expected Rate of Return

Year Amount Calculation Rate of Return
1      955.90 [(1000 - 955.90 ) /955.90 ]*100                      4.61
2      916.47 [(955.90 - 916.47 ) /916.47 ]*100                      4.30
3      834.12 [(916.47 - 834.12 ) /834.12 ]*100                      9.87
4      766.39 [(834.12 - 766.39) /766.39 ]*100                      8.84
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