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Case Study #2: The Day the Sky Roared Shortly after daybreak on April 3, 1974, thunder rumbled through the dark skies that covered much of the midwestern United States. Lightning struck areas from the Gulf Coast states to the Canadian border. By the predawn hours of the next day. the affected region of around 490.000 acres was devastated by more than 100 tornadoes. This super outbreak was responsible for the deaths of more than 300 people in 11 states. More than 6100 people were injured by the storms, with approximately 27,500 families suffering some kind of loss. The total cost attributed to the disaster was more than $600 million. Amazingly, the storm resulted in six category five tornadoes with wind speeds exceeding 260 miles per hour. To put this figure in perspective, the region endured about one decades worth of category five tornadoes in a single 24-hour period! Fujita Wind Damage Scale F-scale Wind Speed (mph) Damage F-0 Up to 72 F-1 73 to 112 F-2 113 to 157 F-3 158 to 206 F-4 207 to 260 F-5 Above 260 Light Moderate Severe Structural engineers and meteorologists are interested in understanding catastrophic events such as this tornado outbreak. Variables such as tornado intensity las described by the F scale), tornado duration (time spent by the tornado in contact with the ground), and death demographics can provide insights into these events and their impact on the human population. The following table lists the duration time and F scale for each tornado in the April 1974 super outbreak. Tornado Duration Times F- Tornado Duration (minutes) scale F-1 F-2 16, 13. 9. 8, 13, 10. 15,1, 17, 23, 10, 8, 12, 5, 20, 31, 12, 5, 30. 13. 7.1, 5. 13, 1, 2. 5, 10, 1, 20, 5 7.15. 2, 10, 23, 10. 7.12, 8. 1, 8, 19, 5, 10, 15, 20, 10.13, 20, 15, 13, 14. 1, 4. 2.15, 30. 91, 11, 5 9.20. 8, 16, 26, 36, 10, 20. 50, 17,26, 31. 21, 30, 23, 28, 23, 18, 35. 35, 15. 25, 30, 15. 22, 18. 58. 19, 23, 31. F4 F5 13, 26, 40, 14. 11 120, 23. 23, 42,47, 25, 22, 22, 34, 50, 38, 28. 39, 29. 28, 25, 34, 16, 40, 55, 124. 30, 30, 31 37, 69, 23, 52, 61, 122 The following table presents the number of deaths as a function of F scale and community size: Deaths as a Function of F-scale and Community Size F-Scale Deaths Community Size Rural areas F-1 0 Small communities 77 63 56 10 F-2 14 Small cities 32 Medium cities F4 129 Large cities F5 130Create a report that graphically displays and discusses the tornado-related data. Your report should include the following: · 1. A bar graph or pie chart (or both) that depicts the number of tornadoes by F-scale. Generally, only a little more than 1% of all tornadoes exceed F-3 on the Fujita Wind Damage Scale. How does the frequency of the most severe tornadoes of the April 3-4, 1974, outbreak compare with normal tornado formation? 2. A histogram that displays the distribution of tornado duration for all the tornadoes. 3. Six histograms displaying tornado duration for each of the F-scale categories. Does there appear to be a relationship between duration and intensity? If so, describe this relationship. 4. A bar chart that shows the relationship between the number of deaths and tornado intensity. Ordinarily, the most severe tornadoes (F-4 and F5) account for more than 70% of deaths. Is the death distribution of this outbreak consistent with this observation? . 5. A bar chart that shows the relationship between the number of deaths and community size. Are tornadoes more likely to strike rural areas? Include a discussion describing the number of deaths as a function of community size. 6. A general summary of your findings and conclusions. Data Sousce Abbey, Robert F. and T. Theadore Fuita Tomadoes. The Tomadb Outheeak of 3 4 April 3974. In The Thunderstoro in Human Almluls, 2nd ed,cdted by Edevin Kesdlesr 37 66. Nomn 0K uǐosity ot CHlaloma Pess, 1983. Tredeath hares presated in this casestudy ae based on appriinarins made mon charts by Ather and Futa Adational descriptions of events and normal tornado stattatics ae detd from Jadk Wtamds The Weather Book New York: intaar Books, 1992

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Answer #1

Number of tornados by F scale 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 35 31 30 24 Number of tornados F-0 F-1 F-2 F-3 F-4 F-5

Number of tornados by F-scale 24 F-0 F-1 F-2 F-3 F-4 F-5 31 35 30

A single histogram that will display the distribution of tornado duration for all tornados

Frequency 20 40 60 80 100 120

3)

Here Six histograms displaying tornado duration for each of the F-scale categories.

Does there appear to be a relationship between duration and intensity? If so, describe this relationship.

Histogram of F0 Tornado duration

Histogram of t1$F.0 Histogram of t1$F.1 Histogram of t1SF.2 0 10 20 30 40 0 20 40 60 80 100 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 1SF.0 t1SF.1 t1SF.2 Histogram of t1SF.3 Histogram of t1SF.4 Histogram of t1$F.5 0 20 40 60 80 120 0 20 60 100 140 20 40 60 80 120 1SF.3 1SF.4 1SF.5

Conclusion is given as:

Here appears correlation   between intensity and duration.

If you notice in the charts the less intensive tornadoes which are in F-0 scale tend to last fewer minutes and to be more frequent when lasting a short time.

On the other hand if you observe the last chart We will notice that even though there are few tornadoes its intensity is very high.

Something very unusual is that the tornadoes in F-3 scale were a lot more frequent in different durations of time than in any other scale even though they were not the least intense.

There appears to be a relationship between intensity and duration.

If We notice in the charts the less intensive tornadoes which are in F-0 scale tend to last fewer minutes and to be more frequent when lasting a short time.

On the other hand if you observe the last chart We will notice that even though there are few tornadoes its intesity is very high.

Something very unusual is that the tornadoes in F-3 scale were a lot more frequent in different durations of time than in any other scale even though they were not the least intense.

count Deaths by F-scale 40 25 20 F-2 F-3 F-0 F-3 F-4 F-5 Deaths by Community 100 20 Rural areas ll Small cities Medium cities Large citieswe can see that more than 70% deaths come from F-4 anf F-5

we can see tornados stike rural and smaller communiters more so places with open areas

summary: we see more tornados strike low population areas.

We also see large tornados last longer and cause more deaths

Also we see we have very low number of storms

Number of deaths 120 100 80 60 40 20 56 10 Number of deaths

Number of death as community size is given by above bar chart

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