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If the interest rate in the US is 6% and in the UK is 5% and...

  1. If the interest rate in the US is 6% and in the UK is 5% and interest rate parity (IRP) holds, is the forward premium for the dollar per pound positive or negative?
    1. Does the market expect the dollar to depreciate or appreciate relative to the pound?
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Answer #1

As per interest rate parity, an investor is indifferent between investing in two countries

I.e. any higher interest rate in one country is offset by corresponding decline in exchange rate

Since th interest rate in US is more when compared to UK, value of dollar will decline in relation to pound

I.e. dollar is expected to depreciate relative to Pound

Forward premium for dollar per pound will be negative

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