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investors in both the US and the UK require the same real interest rate, 3% on...

investors in both the US and the UK require the same real interest rate, 3% on their lending. there is a consensus in the capital market that the annual inflation rate is likely to be 2% in the US and 1.5% in the UK for the next three years. the spot exchange rate is currently 1.50 using panity conditions, what is the most likely forward dollar-pound exchange rate for one-year maturity?

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4 1.5 Spot rate Inflation US 1.50% UK 10 Nominal rate 5.06% US 12 4.55% UK 13 15 1.49 forward dollar-pound exchange rate 16 1

4 1.5 Spot rate Inflation 0.02 US 0.015 UK 10 Nominal rate (1+396) *(1+D8)-1 US 12 (1+396)*(1+09)-1 UK 13 -D5* (1+D13)/(1+D12

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