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Based on the below decision tree, what is the expected value (What is the value for the best decision alternative)? Success (
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Answer #1

Answer:

Let us calculate expected values of 3 alternatives:

Alternative 1 Expected value = 0.15 * 2199 + 0.4 * 2199 + 0.45 * 2199 =2199

Alternative 2 Expected value = 0.15 * 2500 + 0.4 * 2771 + 0.45 * 1000 =1933.40

Alternative 3 Expected value = 0.15 * 5000 + 0.4 * 3500 + 0.45 * -703 =1833.65

Hence:

Expected value of best value alternative = 2199

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