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Expected return and standard deviation Use the following information to answer the questions: a. What is the expected retun o
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Answer #1

a) Expected return of each asset :

It is the sum of total of possible returns with respective probability

Asset J : 0.24*0.060 + 0.36*0.060 + 0.23* 0.060 + 0.17 * 0.060 = 0.060 i. e. 6%

Asset K :0.24*0.230 + 0.36*0.110 + 0.23* 0.065 + 0.17 * -0.150 =0.08425 i.e. 8.425%

Asset L = 0.24*0.260 + 0.36*0.220 + 0.23* 0.070 + 0.17 * -0.220 = 0.1203 i.e. 12.03%

b) Variance and Standard Deviation of Each Asset

Asset J

State of Economy Probability of state ( p) Return Deviation( d) ( Return - Average Return ) d2 Product( d2*p)  
Boom 0.24 0.06 0 0 0
Growth 0.36 0.06 0 0 0
Stagnant 0.23 0.06 0 0 0
Recession 0.17 0.06 0 0 0
Variance( sum of pd2) 0

Standard deviation = Variance^1/2 = 0.1/2 = 0

Asset K

State of Economy Probability of state ( p) Return Deviation( d) ( Return - Average Return ) d2 Product( d2*p)  
Boom 0.24 0.23 -0.14575 0.021243063 0.0050983
Growth 0.36 0.11 -0.02575 0.000663063 0.0002387
Stagnant 0.23 0.065 0.01925 0.000370563 0.0000852
Recession 0.17 -0.15 0.23425 0.054873063 0.0093284
Variance 0.0147507

Standard Deviation = Variance^1/2 = 0.01457507^1/2 = 0.121452408

Asset L

State of Economy Probability of state ( p) Return Deviation( d) ( Return - Average Return ) d2 Product( d2*p)  
Boom 0.24 0.26 -0.13970 0.01951609 0.0046839
Growth 0.36 0.22 -0.0997 0.00994009 0.0035784
Stagnant 0.23 0.07 0.0503 0.00253009 0.0005819
Recession 0.17 -0.22 0.3403 0.11580409 0.0196867
Variance 0.0285309

Standard deviation = Variance^1/2 = 0.0285309^1/2 = 0.1689109

c) Expected return of portfolio with 12% of Asset J, 51 % of Asset K, 37 % of Asset L

= 0.12*0.060 + .51* 0.08425 + .37* 0.1203 = 0.09468 i.e. 9.468 %

D) Variance and Standard Deviation Calculation of Portfolio

Return under different Economy

State of Economy Probability of state ( P) J K L Weightage ( W) Return = sum(P*W*Product)
Boom 0.24 0.06 0.23 0.26 0.12 0.51 0.37 0.052968
Growth 0.36 0.06 0.11 0.22 0.12 0.51 0.37 0.052092
Stagnant 0.23 0.06 0.065 0.07 0.12 0.51 0.37 0.0152375
Recession 0.17 0.06 -0.15 -0.22 0.12 0.51 0.37 -0.025619
State of Economy Probability of state ( p) Return Deviation( d) ( Return - Average Return ) d2 Product( d2*p)
Boom 0.24 0.052968 -0.04171 0.001739766 0.0004175
Growth 0.36 0.052092 -0.04259 0.00181361 0.0006529
Stagnant 0.23 0.0152375 -0.07944 0.006310872 0.0014515
Recession 0.17 -0.025619 -0.12030 0.014471489 0.0024602
0.0946785 Variance 0.0049821

Standard deviation = Variance^1/2 = 0.0049821^1/2 = 0.0705839

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