Toy Universe Products is considering producing toy action figures and sandbox toys. The products require different specialized machines, each costing $1 million. Each machine has a five-year life and zero residual value. The two products have different patterns of predicted net cash inflows.
1. Calculate the sandbox toy project's ARR.
2. If the sandbox toy project had a residual value of $150,000 would the ARR change? Explain and recalculate if necessary.
3. Does this investment pass Toy UniverseToy Universe's ARR screening rule?
1. Sandbox Toy Project's ARR is 10.30%. Calculation is as below:
Particulars | Toy Action Project | Sandbox Toy Project |
Cost of Machine | 1000000 | 1000000 |
No. of years of useful life | 5 | 5 |
Salvage Value | 0 | 0 |
Depreciation per year = (Cost of Machine - Salvage Value) / No. of years of useful life | 200000 | 200000 |
Cash Inflow: | ||
Year 1 | 336700 | 550000 |
Year 2 | 336700 | 340000 |
Year 3 | 336700 | 310000 |
Year 4 | 336700 | 275000 |
Year 5 | 336700 | 40000 |
Total Inflow | 1683500 | 1515000 |
Net Profit (with no salvage value) = Total Inflow - (Cost of Machine - Salvage Value) | 683500 | 515000 |
Average Annual Profit = Net Profit / No. of years of useful life | 136700 | 103000 |
Accounting Rate of Return (ARR) = Average Annual Profit / Cost of Machine | 13.67% | 10.30% |
2. If the Sandbox project has a residual / salvage value of $1,50,000, then the ARR would be 13.30%. This is because the net inflow will increase with the amount of Residual Value and hence the average annual profit will increase; thereby increasing the ARR. Calculation is as below:
Particulars | Toy Action Project | Sandbox Toy Project |
Cost of Machine | 10,00,000 | 10,00,000 |
No. of years of useful life | 5 | 5 |
Salvage Value | - | 1,50,000 |
Depreciation per year = (Cost of Machine - Salvage Value) / No. of years of useful life | 2,00,000 | 1,70,000 |
Cash Inflow: | ||
Year 1 | 3,36,700 | 5,50,000 |
Year 2 | 3,36,700 | 3,40,000 |
Year 3 | 3,36,700 | 3,10,000 |
Year 4 | 3,36,700 | 2,75,000 |
Year 5 | 3,36,700 | 40,000 |
Total Inflow | 16,83,500 | 15,15,000 |
Net Profit (with np salvage value) = Total Inflow - (Cost of Machine - Salvage Value) | 6,83,500 | 6,65,000 |
Average Annual Profit = Net Profit / No. of years of useful life | 1,36,700 | 1,33,000 |
Accounting Rate of Return (ARR) = Average Annual Profit / Cost of Machine | 13.67% | 13.30% |
3. For a project to pass the screening rule, it should have a payback period of less than 3.5 years and ARR of more than 8%. With these rules, both the project will pass the screening rule as the ARR for both the projects is more than 8% (with or without residual value) and payback period for both the projects is less than 3.5 years (calculation as below).
Projected | |||||||
Toy Action Figure Project | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Total | |
Yearly cash flow | $ (10,00,000) | $ 3,36,700 | $ 3,36,700 | $ 3,36,700 | $ 3,36,700 | $ 3,36,700 | |
Cumulative Net Cash Flow | (6,63,300) | (3,26,600) | 10,100 | 3,46,800 | 6,83,500 | ||
Whether positive cash flow | FALSE | FALSE | TRUE | TRUE | TRUE | ||
Fraction for positive cash flow (Cumulative Net Cash Flow / Net Cash Flow) | 0.03 | ||||||
Net time for Pay back period (1-fraction for positive cash flow) | 0.97 | ||||||
Total Payback period | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.97 | - | - | 2.97 |
Projected | |||||||
Sandbox Toy Project | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Total | |
Yearly cash flow | $ (10,00,000) | $ 5,50,000 | $ 3,40,000 | $ 3,10,000 | $ 2,75,000 | $ 40,000 | |
Cumulative Net Cash Flow | (4,50,000) | (1,10,000) | 2,00,000 | 4,75,000 | 5,15,000 | ||
Whether positive cash flow | FALSE | FALSE | TRUE | TRUE | TRUE | ||
Fraction for positive cash flow (Cumulative Net Cash Flow / Net Cash Flow) | 0.65 | - | - | ||||
Net time for Pay back period (1-fraction for positive cash flow) | 0.35 | - | - | ||||
Total Payback period | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.35 | 2.35 |
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