Question

Year Sandbox toy Toy action figure project project 336,700 $ 550,000 1 2 336,700 340,000 3 336,700 310,000 4. 336,700 275,000

Toy Universe Products is considering producing toy action figures and sandbox toys. The products require different specialized​ machines, each costing ​$1 million. Each machine has a​ five-year life and zero residual value. The two products have different patterns of predicted net cash inflows.

1. Calculate the sandbox toy​ project's ARR.

2. If the sandbox toy project had a residual value of $150,000 would the ARR​ change? Explain and recalculate if necessary.

3. Does this investment pass Toy UniverseToy Universe​'s ARR screening​ rule?

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Answer #1

1. Sandbox Toy Project's ARR is 10.30%. Calculation is as below:

Particulars Toy Action Project Sandbox Toy Project
Cost of Machine 1000000 1000000
No. of years of useful life 5 5
Salvage Value 0 0
Depreciation per year = (Cost of Machine - Salvage Value) / No. of years of useful life 200000 200000
Cash Inflow:
Year 1 336700 550000
Year 2 336700 340000
Year 3 336700 310000
Year 4 336700 275000
Year 5 336700 40000
Total Inflow 1683500 1515000
Net Profit (with no salvage value) = Total Inflow - (Cost of Machine - Salvage Value) 683500 515000
Average Annual Profit = Net Profit / No. of years of useful life 136700 103000
Accounting Rate of Return (ARR) = Average Annual Profit / Cost of Machine 13.67% 10.30%

2. If the Sandbox project has a residual / salvage value of $1,50,000, then the ARR would be 13.30%. This is because the net inflow will increase with the amount of Residual Value and hence the average annual profit will increase; thereby increasing the ARR. Calculation is as below:

Particulars Toy Action Project Sandbox Toy Project
Cost of Machine                      10,00,000                           10,00,000
No. of years of useful life                                       5                                           5
Salvage Value                                      -                               1,50,000
Depreciation per year = (Cost of Machine - Salvage Value) / No. of years of useful life                         2,00,000                             1,70,000
Cash Inflow:
Year 1                         3,36,700                             5,50,000
Year 2                         3,36,700                             3,40,000
Year 3                         3,36,700                             3,10,000
Year 4                         3,36,700                             2,75,000
Year 5                         3,36,700                                 40,000
Total Inflow                      16,83,500                           15,15,000
Net Profit (with np salvage value) = Total Inflow - (Cost of Machine - Salvage Value)                         6,83,500                             6,65,000
Average Annual Profit = Net Profit / No. of years of useful life                         1,36,700                             1,33,000
Accounting Rate of Return (ARR) = Average Annual Profit / Cost of Machine 13.67% 13.30%

3. For a project to pass the screening rule, it should have a payback period of less than 3.5 years and ARR of more than 8%. With these rules, both the project will pass the screening rule as the ARR for both the projects is more than 8% (with or without residual value) and payback period for both the projects is less than 3.5 years (calculation as below).

Projected
Toy Action Figure Project Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Total
Yearly cash flow $ (10,00,000)      $ 3,36,700      $ 3,36,700      $ 3,36,700      $ 3,36,700      $ 3,36,700
Cumulative Net Cash Flow        (6,63,300)        (3,26,600)            10,100         3,46,800         6,83,500
Whether positive cash flow FALSE FALSE TRUE TRUE TRUE
Fraction for positive cash flow (Cumulative Net Cash Flow / Net Cash Flow)               0.03
Net time for Pay back period (1-fraction for positive cash flow)               0.97
Total Payback period                 1.0                 1.0               0.97                   -                  -             2.97
Projected
Sandbox Toy Project Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Total
Yearly cash flow $ (10,00,000)      $ 5,50,000      $ 3,40,000      $ 3,10,000      $ 2,75,000         $ 40,000
Cumulative Net Cash Flow        (4,50,000)        (1,10,000)         2,00,000         4,75,000         5,15,000
Whether positive cash flow FALSE FALSE TRUE TRUE TRUE
Fraction for positive cash flow (Cumulative Net Cash Flow / Net Cash Flow)               0.65                   -                   -
Net time for Pay back period (1-fraction for positive cash flow)               0.35                   -                   -
Total Payback period                 1.0                 1.0               0.35           2.35
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