Trend Analysis (Using Least Squares Method): Least squares method is a standard regression analysis method.
Cell E3:E22 are actual data. Cell E23 onwards, the "Trend" formula in excel has been used on rolling basis.
Further quality improvement initiatives:
Based on the facts in the question, it is understood that the Company has begun adopting a "TQM Initiative" (Total Quality Management Initiative). This implies that in every process of an organization, implementing standard processes, having a system to identify inefficiencies and defects, analysing the root causes, taking preventive or corrective action as well as periodic review of the existing processes for further improvement becomes necessary.
In the above question, it is clear that the initiative to address the material quality issues brought down the defects by roughly 46.31% over a period of 3.5 years from August 2015. However, Pareto Analysis can be used as a effective tool to understand what are the major causes of problems. In simple terms, 80% of the problems cause 20% of the pain. But 20% of the problems cause 80% of the pain.
Other specific initiatives that can be taken to reduce defects:
Inputs ------ Manufacturing Process------Output
A. Inputs:
1. Assessing the inward logistics process to check whether there are damages to the materials after it has been dispatched by the vendor.
2. Assessing the procurement policy to check whether the Company is inherently dependent on poor quality suppliers.
3. Assessing the quality assurance policy and process to assess whether the materials are not being passed through a robust quality check.
4. Assessing the company's internal storage system to check whether the materials are being damaged by the internal material handling teams.
B. Manufacturing Process:
1. Assessing the manufacturing processes to check whether certain processes are not processing materials as intended (benchmarking the process).
2. Implementing "Six Sigma" or "Kaizen" principles in the process.
3. Assessing whether certain processes are redundant or whether they can be automated.
4. Assessing the quality of the machinery to check whether the capabilities of the machinery are compromised.
use trendlines and regression analysis to assist in evaluating the data to reach a useful conclusion....