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73 and 73 are to be tested using a random sample Consider a part-drying situation in which drying time for a test specimen is
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a)

Standard Error , SE = σ/√n =   9.0000   / √    25   =   1.8000      
Z-test statistic= (x̅ - µ )/SE = (   72.300   -   73   ) /    1.8000   =   -0.389

answer: 0.39 std dev

b)

Standard Error , SE = σ/√n =   9.0000   / √    25   =   1.8000      
Z-test statistic= (x̅ - µ )/SE = (   72.300   -   73   ) /    1.8000   =   -0.39
                          
  
p-Value   =   0.3487   [ Excel formula =NORMSDIST(z) ]              

do not reject null hypothesis.there is not sufficient evidence...................

c)

true mean ,    µ =    70              
                      
hypothesis mean,   µo =    73              
significance level,   α =    0.005              
sample size,   n =   25              
std dev,   σ =    9              
                      
δ=   µ - µo =    -3              
                      
std error of mean,   σx = σ/√n =    9.0000   / √    25   =   1.80000

Zα =       -2.5758   (left tail test)          
                      
We will fail to reject the null (commit a Type II error) if we get a Z statistic >               -2.576      
this Z-critical value corresponds to X critical value( X critical), such that                      
                      
(x̄ - µo)/σx ≥ Zα                      
x̄ ≥ Zα*σx + µo                      
x̄ ≥    -2.576   *   1.8000   +   73  
       x̄ ≥    68.3635   (acceptance region)      
                      
now, type II error is ,ß =    P( x̄ ≥    68.364   given that µ =   70   )  
                      
   = P ( Z > (x̄-true mean)/σx )                   
=P(Z > (   68.364   -   70   ) /   1.8000   )
                      
   = P ( Z >    -0.909   ) =   0.8184 [ Excel function: =1-normsdist(z) ]  
                      

d)

True mean   µ =    70                              
hypothesis mean,   µo =    73                              
                                      
Level of Significance ,    α =    0.005                              
std dev =    σ =    9.000                              
power =    1-ß =    0.99                              
ß=       0.01                              
δ=   µ - µo =    -3                              
                                      
Z ( α ) =       2.5758   [excel function: =normsinv(α)                          
                                     
Z (ß) =        2.3263   [excel function: =normsinv(ß)                         
                                      
sample size needed =    n = ( ( Z(ß)+Z(α) )*σ / δ )² = ( (   2.3263   +   2.5758   ) *   9.0   /   -3   ) ² =   216.28
                                      
so, sample size =        217

e)

type I error is probability of rejecting Ho when it is true.

P(X<73|µ=76)

Z =   (X - µ )/(σ/√n) = (   73   -   76.00   ) / (   9.000   / √   100   ) =   -3.33
                                      
P(X ≤   73   ) = P(Z ≤   -3.333   ) =   0.0004 (answer)
  

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